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Serie A
Referee: Marco Guida
Fiorentina
U U T T S
0–2
Full-time
Juventus
S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Fiorentina Juventus
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
33%
100%
Points per game
1,3
3,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
83%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,7
Scored
1,2
2,5
Conceded
1,7
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+2,3
This season — Serie A · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 59%
35%
83%
Points per game
1,3
2,6
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
61%
65%
Both score Ø 50%
61%
39%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,4
2,6
Conceded
1,3
0,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+1,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

61% Possession 39%
12 Shots 4
2 Shots on target 3
3 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 17
4 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Fiorentina 11. · Juventus 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Napoli 23 19 3 1 +36 60
2 Juventus 23 19 2 2 +44 59
3 Lazio 23 14 4 5 +29 46
4 Inter 23 12 9 2 +20 45
5 Roma 23 13 5 5 +16 44
6 Sampdoria 23 11 5 7 +10 38
7 Atalanta 23 10 6 7 +8 36
8 Milan 23 10 5 8 +0 35
9 Udinese 23 10 3 10 +4 33
10 Torino 23 7 12 4 +4 33
11 Fiorentina 23 8 7 8 +4 31
12 Bologna 23 8 3 12 -7 27
13 Genoa 23 6 6 11 -7 24
14 Cagliari 23 7 3 13 -12 24
15 Chievo 23 5 7 11 -19 22
16 Sassuolo 23 6 4 13 -27 22
17 Crotone 23 5 5 13 -22 20
18 Spal 23 3 8 12 -19 17
19 Verona 23 4 4 15 -24 16
20 Benevento 23 2 1 20 -38 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Fiorentina Juventus
24′
🟨 Stephan Lichtsteiner
Gil Dias 🟨
37′
39′
🟨 Alex Sandro
Half-time 0–1
56′
F. Bernardeschi 0–1
61′
🔁 A. Barzagli
↦ S. Lichtsteiner
66′
🔁 Douglas Costa
↦ C. Marchisio
Jordan Veretout 🟨
67′
C. Théréau 🔁
↦ Gil Dias
67′
78′
🔁 R. Bentancur
↦ F. Bernardeschi
V. Eysseric 🔁
↦ M. Benassi
79′
Cyril Théréau 🟨
84′
86′
G. Higuaín 0–2
G. Chiellini
Cristiano Biraghi 🟨
88′
90′
🟨 Medhi Benatia
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Fiorentina

4-3-3
57 M. Sportiello G
13 D. Astori D
3 C. Biraghi D
20 G. Pezzella D
4 N. Milenković D
5 M. Badelj M
17 J. Veretout M
24 M. Benassi M
9 G. Simeone F
28 Gil Dias M
25 F. Chiesa F
Bench (12)
77 C. Théréau
10 V. Eysseric
8 R. Saponara
11 D. Falcinelli
14 B. Dabo
15 M. Olivera
19 S. Cristóforo
22 M. Cerofolini
27 S. Lo Faso
31 Vitor Hugo
76 Bruno Gaspar
97 B. Drągowski

Coach: S. Pioli

Juventus

4-3-3
1 G. Buffon
26 S. Lichtsteiner D
4 M. Benatia D
3 G. Chiellini D
12 Alex Sandro D
6 S. Khedira M
8 C. Marchisio M
5 M. Pjanić M
9 G. Higuaín F
17 M. Mandžukić F
33 F. Bernardeschi M
Bench (9)
15 A. Barzagli
11 Douglas Costa
30 R. Bentancur
2 M. De Sciglio
16 C. Pinsoglio
22 K. Asamoah
23 W. Szczęsny
24 D. Rugani
27 S. Sturaro

Coach: M. Allegri

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Marco Guida · 80 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
21,4 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.