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La Liga
Referee: Juan Martínez
Sevilla
T S S U S
2–1
Full-time
Getafe
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
2,2
1,5
Conceded
0,7
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,5
This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 20%
13%
27%
Points per game
0,8
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 40%
40%
40%
Both score Ø 57%
73%
40%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
0,9
0,9
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
-0,6
-0,4
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
11 Shots 11
5 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 4
5 Offside 2
13 Free kicks against 16
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sevilla 19. · Getafe 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 15 12 2 1 +28 38
2 Real Madrid 16 12 2 2 +20 38
3 Sociedad 16 10 2 4 +6 32
4 Betis 16 8 4 4 +6 28
5 Ath Madrid 15 8 3 4 +9 27
6 Villarreal 16 8 3 5 +7 27
7 Ath Bilbao 15 7 4 4 +10 25
8 Vallecano 16 6 5 5 +3 23
9 Osasuna 15 7 2 6 +0 23
10 Mallorca 16 6 4 6 -1 22
11 Valencia 16 5 4 7 +5 19
12 Girona 16 4 6 6 -2 18
13 Getafe 15 4 5 6 -6 17
14 Almeria 16 5 2 9 -8 17
15 Valladolid 16 5 2 9 -11 17
16 Celta 16 4 4 8 -11 16
17 Cadiz 16 3 6 7 -16 15
18 Espanol 16 2 8 6 -6 14
19 Sevilla 15 2 6 7 -9 12
20 Elche 16 0 4 12 -24 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Sevilla Getafe
32′
🟨 Omar Alderete
1–0 M. Acuña
I. Rakitić
36′
Half-time 1–0
Tanguy Nianzou 🟨
48′
Ivan Rakitić 🟨
61′
L. Badé 🔁
↦ Y. En-Nesyri
68′
71′
🔁 Portu
↦ D. Suárez
73′
🟨 Borja Mayoral
Rafa Mir 🔁
↦ E. Lamela
73′
Suso 🔁
↦ I. Rakitić
73′
76′
🔁 M. El Haddadi
↦ Carles Aleñá
2–0 Rafa Mir
Óliver Torres
80′
Carlos Álvarez 🔁
↦ Óliver Torres
81′
83′
🟨 Portu
84′
🔁 Juanmi Latasa
↦ E. Ünal
87′
Borja Mayoral 2–1
Portu
Carlos Álvarez 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Sevilla

3-1-4-2
13 Y. Bounou G
14 T. Nianzou D
20 Fernando D
6 N. Gudelj D
8 Joan Jordán M
16 Jesús Navas M
21 Óliver Torres M
10 I. Rakitić M
19 M. Acuña M
17 E. Lamela F
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
22 L. Badé
12 Rafa Mir
7 Suso
27 Carlos Álvarez
11 A. Januzaj
29 Kike Salas
31 Alberto Flores
44 Diego Hormigo
34 Pedro Ortiz
43 Manu Bueno
1 M. Dmitrović
28 Nacho Quintana

Coach: J. Sampaoli

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
22 D. Suárez D
2 D. Dakonam D
6 Domingos Duarte D
15 O. Alderete D
21 Juan Iglesias D
11 Carles Aleñá M
16 Ángel Algobia M
5 Luis Milla M
10 E. Ünal F
19 Borja Mayoral F
Bench (12)
9 Portu
17 M. El Haddadi
14 Juanmi Latasa
23 S. Mitrović
20 N. Maksimović
1 Kiko Casilla
12 J. Amavi
4 G. Álvarez
27 Diego Conde
8 Jaime Seoane
7 Jaime Mata
3 F. Angileri

Coach: Quique Sánchez Flores

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,77
U
3,46
B
5,27
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,49
U2,5
1,55
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Juan Martínez · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.