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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Cadiz
S T T U T
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
T U U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cadiz Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
0,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 25%
33%
17%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,5
0,8
Conceded
1,8
0,8
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+0,0
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — La Liga · 34/34 matches
Win Ø 21%
12%
29%
Points per game
0,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
26%
41%
Both score Ø 44%
41%
47%
Average goals
2,1
2,6
Scored
0,7
1,2
Conceded
1,4
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-0,2
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,54 xG 0,44
45% Possession 55%
13 Shots 10
6 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 5
6 Corners 2
2 Offside 1
23 Free kicks against 16
5 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Cadiz 18. · Getafe 10.
# Team K V U T +/− xG +/− P
1 Real Madrid 35 28 6 1 +56 +34.3 90
2 Girona 35 23 6 6 +31 +12.5 75
3 Barcelona 34 22 7 5 +27 +35.1 73
4 Ath Madrid 34 21 4 9 +24 +20.0 67
5 Ath Bilbao 35 17 11 7 +22 +10.9 62
6 Sociedad 34 14 12 8 +13 +7.4 54
7 Betis 34 13 13 8 +4 -5.1 52
8 Villarreal 35 13 9 13 -1 -3.1 48
9 Valencia 34 13 8 13 -2 -5.6 47
10 Getafe 34 10 13 11 -6 -4.8 43
11 Alaves 35 11 9 15 -6 +0.7 42
12 Sevilla 35 10 11 14 -2 -9.9 41
13 Osasuna 35 11 7 17 -14 -8.1 40
14 Las Palmas 35 10 7 18 -14 -22.7 37
15 Mallorca 35 7 14 14 -12 -6.7 35
16 Celta 34 8 10 16 -12 -3.4 34
17 Vallecano 34 7 13 14 -16 -3.2 34
18 Cadiz 34 4 14 16 -26 -16.6 26
19 Granada 35 4 9 22 -32 -18.4 21
20 Almeria 34 2 11 21 -34 -13.3 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Cadiz Getafe
34′
🟨 Djené
1–0 Rubén Alcaraz
35′
Rubén Sobrino 🟨
39′
Half-time 1–0
46′
🔁 Óscar Rodríguez
↦ Fabrizio Angileri
46′
🔁 Omar Alderete
↦ Djené
Víctor Chust 🟨
48′
57′
🟨 Óscar Rodríguez
58′
🔁 Carles Aleñá
↦ Yellu Santiago
58′
🔁 Juanmi Latasa
↦ Jaime Mata
Joseba Zaldúa 🟨
61′
Iza Carcelén 🔁
↦ Joseba Zaldúa
64′
Iván Alejo 🔁
↦ Rubén Sobrino
64′
Juanmi 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
64′
Maximiliano Gómez 🔁
↦ Chris Ramos
70′
81′
🔁 Ilaix Moriba
↦ Nemanja Maksimović
Lucas Pires 🔁
↦ Robert Navarro
82′
Iván Alejo 🟨
93′
Javier Hernández 🟨
94′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Cadiz

4-4-2
1 Jeremías Ledesma G
2 Joseba Zaldúa D
3 Fali D
5 Víctor Chust D
15 Javier Hernández D
7 Rubén Sobrino M
17 Gonzalo Escalante M
4 Rubén Alcaraz M
27 Robert Navarro M
21 Roger Martí F
16 Chris Ramos F
Bench (12)
20 Iza Carcelén
11 Iván Alejo
9 Juanmi
25 Maximiliano Gómez
33 Lucas Pires
13 David Gil
14 Mamadou Mbaye
10 Brian Ocampo
6 Diadié Samassékou
8 Álex Fernández
19 Sergi Guardiola
18 Darwin Machís

Coach: M. Pellegrino

Getafe

5-3-2
13 David Soria G
18 José Ángel Carmona D
2 Djené D
4 Gastón Álvarez D
16 Diego Rico D
3 Fabrizio Angileri D
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
25 Yellu Santiago M
5 Luis Milla M
12 Mason Greenwood F
7 Jaime Mata F
Bench (8)
15 Omar Alderete
9 Óscar Rodríguez
11 Carles Aleñá
14 Juanmi Latasa
24 Ilaix Moriba
1 Daniel Fuzato
40 Djordjije Medenica
37 Alberto Risco

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,11
U
3,21
B
3,86
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,56
U2,5 ✓
1,52
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.