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Champions League
Referee: I Kovacs
Arsenal
U S S T T
2–0
Full-time
Sevilla
U T U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Arsenal Sevilla
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
3,0
3,0
Scored
1,8
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
This season — Champions League · 3/3 matches
Win Ø 34%
67%
0%
Points per game
2,0
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,3
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
-0,3
xG created Pro
xG conceded Pro
xG diff Pro
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

1,39 xG 0,04
62% Possession 38%
11 Shots 1
3 Shots on target 1
1 Blocked shots 0
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 1
1 Offside 2
12 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. Oct -23 Sevilla – Arsenal 1–2

Match report

Arsenal Sevilla
1–0 L. Trossard ⚽
B. Saka
29′
Half-time 1–0
O. Zinchenko 🔁
↦ T. Tomiyasu
46′
2–0 B. Saka ⚽
Gabriel Martinelli
64′
65′
🔁 B. Soumaré
↦ Joan Jordán
65′
🔁 I. Rakitić
↦ D. Sow
66′
🟨 Boubakary Soumaré
71′
🟨 Juanlu Sánchez
73′
🔁 M. Díaz
↦ B. Soumaré
76′
🔁 L. Ocampos
↦ Kike Salas
76′
🔁 T. Nianzou
↦ Adrià Pedrosa
77′
🟨 Lucas Ocampos
Oleksandr Zinchenko 🟨
81′
Fábio Vieira 🔁
↦ L. Trossard
81′
R. Nelson 🔁
↦ Gabriel Martinelli
81′
Declan Rice 🟨
85′
J. Kiwior 🔁
↦ B. Saka
85′
Mohamed Elneny 🔁
↦ Jorginho
90′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Arsenal

4-3-3
22 David Raya G
4 B. White D
2 W. Saliba D
6 Gabriel Magalhães D
18 T. Tomiyasu D
29 K. Havertz M
20 Jorginho M
41 D. Rice M
7 B. Saka F
19 L. Trossard F
11 Gabriel Martinelli F
Bench (10)
35 O. Zinchenko
21 Fábio Vieira
24 R. Nelson
15 J. Kiwior
25 Mohamed Elneny
71 C. Sagoe Jr
45 A. Cozier-Duberry
1 A. Ramsdale
17 Cédric Soares
31 K. Hein

Coach: Mikel Arteta

Sevilla

4-2-3-1
1 M. Dmitrović G
26 Juanlu Sánchez D
22 L. Badé D
6 N. Gudelj D
27 Kike Salas D
8 Joan Jordán M
20 Fernando M
17 É. Lamela M
18 D. Sow M
3 Adrià Pedrosa M
15 Y. En-Nesyri F
Bench (12)
24 B. Soumaré
10 I. Rakitić
12 M. Díaz
5 L. Ocampos
14 T. Nianzou
31 Alberto Flores
16 Jesús Navas
11 D. Lukébakio
21 Óliver Torres
2 F. Gattoni
7 Suso
9 Rafa Mir

Coach: D. Alonso

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

I Kovacs · 37 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
23,1 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,27 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.