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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime
Barcelona
S S S S S
0–1
Full-time
Cadiz
S T S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Cadiz
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
3,5
1,5
Scored
3,0
0,8
Conceded
0,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
+2,5
+0,2
This season — La Liga · 30/31 matches
Win Ø 37%
57%
16%
Points per game
2,0
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 46%
57%
35%
Both score Ø 54%
60%
48%
Average goals
3,0
2,2
Scored
2,0
0,8
Conceded
1,0
1,4
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

75% Possession 25%
18 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 4
5 Blocked shots 0
3 Goalkeeper saves 6
8 Corners 1
0 Offside 5
16 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Barcelona 2. · Cadiz 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 32 23 6 3 +38 75
2 Barcelona 30 17 9 4 +29 60
3 Sevilla 32 16 12 4 +21 60
4 Ath Madrid 32 18 6 8 +20 60
5 Betis 32 17 6 9 +19 57
6 Sociedad 32 15 10 7 +2 55
7 Villarreal 32 13 10 9 +20 49
8 Ath Bilbao 32 11 12 9 +4 45
9 Osasuna 32 12 8 12 -8 44
10 Valencia 32 10 12 10 -2 42
11 Celta 32 10 9 13 +1 39
12 Espanol 32 10 9 13 -7 39
13 Elche 32 9 8 15 -9 35
14 Vallecano 31 9 7 15 -6 34
15 Getafe 32 7 11 14 -8 32
16 Granada 32 6 11 15 -20 29
17 Mallorca 32 7 8 17 -26 29
18 Cadiz 31 5 13 13 -17 28
19 Levante 32 5 10 17 -23 25
20 Alaves 32 6 7 19 -28 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Cadiz
Sergio Busquets 🟨
42′
Half-time 0–1
48′
Lucas Pérez 0–1
61′
🟨 Luis Hernández
P. Aubameyang 🔁
↦ M. Depay
61′
64′
🔁 Alejo
↦ Salvi
64′
🔁 Fede
↦ José Mari
Sergiño Dest 🟨
70′
76′
🔁 Carlos Akapo
↦ Raúl Parra
Adama Traoré 🔁
↦ C. Lenglet
77′
L. de Jong 🔁
↦ F. de Jong
77′
77′
🔁 Víctor Chust
↦ J. Jønsson
82′
🔁 S. Arzamendia
↦ Sobrino
Ferran Torres 🟨
94′
Óscar Mingueza 🔁
↦ S. Dest
94′
Jordi Alba 🟨
98′
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-3-3
1 M. ter Stegen G
18 Jordi Alba D
15 C. Lenglet D
24 Eric García D
2 S. Dest D
5 Sergio Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
30 Gavi M
9 M. Depay F
7 O. Dembélé F
19 Ferran Torres F
Bench (11)
25 P. Aubameyang
11 Adama Traoré
17 L. de Jong
22 Óscar Mingueza
14 Nico González
13 Neto
6 Riqui Puig
12 M. Braithwaite
31 Álex Balde
36 Arnau Tenas
8 Dani Alves

Coach: Xavi

Cadiz

4-2-3-1
1 J. Ledesma G
23 Luis Hernández D
3 Fali Jiménez D
22 A. Espino D
36 Raúl Parra D
8 Álex M
6 José Mari M
7 Salvi M
2 J. Jønsson M
25 Lucas Pérez F
21 Sobrino M
Bench (12)
14 Alejo
24 Fede
15 Carlos Akapo
32 Víctor Chust
19 S. Arzamendia
13 David Gil
16 Juan Cala
18 Álvaro Negredo
10 Alberto Perea
12 T. Alarcón
11 O. Idrissi
9 A. Lozano

Coach: Sergio

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,22
U
6,63
B ✓
13,92
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,56
U2,5 ✓
2,43
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.