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La Liga

Referee: Valentín Pizarro

Girona

S S T U U

2–1

Full-time

Sevilla

S S U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Girona Sevilla

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

100%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,3

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,3

Conceded

1,5

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+1,7

This season — La Liga · 16/16 matches

Win Ø 22%

25%

19%

Points per game

1,1

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

63%

44%

Both score Ø 82%

88%

75%

Average goals

3,1

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,0

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,1

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

46% Possession 54%

19 Shots 10

7 Shots on target 2

5 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 5

5 Corners 2

1 Offside 1

11 Free kicks against 7

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Girona 12. · Sevilla 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	16	13	2	1	+29	41
2	Real Madrid	16	12	2	2	+20	38
3	Sociedad	16	10	2	4	+6	32
4	Villarreal	17	8	4	5	+7	28
5	Betis	16	8	4	4	+6	28
6	Ath Madrid	16	8	3	5	+8	27
7	Ath Bilbao	16	7	5	4	+10	26
8	Vallecano	17	7	5	5	+4	26
9	Osasuna	16	7	3	6	+0	24
10	Mallorca	16	6	4	6	-1	22
11	Valencia	16	5	4	7	+5	19
12	Girona	16	4	6	6	-2	18
13	Getafe	16	4	5	7	-7	17
14	Almeria	16	5	2	9	-8	17
15	Celta	17	4	5	8	-11	17
16	Valladolid	17	5	2	10	-12	17
17	Sevilla	16	3	6	7	-8	15
18	Cadiz	16	3	6	7	-16	15
19	Espanol	16	2	8	6	-6	14
20	Elche	16	0	4	12	-24	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	6	2	0	+17	20
2	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+9	17
3	Ath Bilbao	9	5	2	2	+8	17
4	Betis	8	5	2	1	+7	17
5	Villarreal	7	5	1	1	+7	16
6	Almeria	8	5	0	3	+3	15
7	Osasuna	8	5	0	3	+3	15
8	Vallecano	8	4	2	2	+4	14
9	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+0	14
10	Valencia	9	4	1	4	+7	13
11	Valladolid	9	4	1	4	-1	13
12	Girona	8	3	3	2	+1	12
13	Ath Madrid	8	3	2	3	+2	11
14	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	+0	11
15	Celta	9	2	4	3	-1	10
16	Getafe	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Cadiz	8	1	4	3	-8	7
18	Espanol	8	1	3	4	-5	6
19	Sevilla	8	1	3	4	-6	6
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-10	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	8	7	0	1	+12	21
2	Real Madrid	9	7	0	2	+11	21
3	Sociedad	8	6	0	2	+6	18
4	Ath Madrid	8	5	1	2	+6	16
5	Vallecano	9	3	3	3	+0	12
6	Villarreal	10	3	3	4	+0	12
7	Mallorca	8	3	2	3	-1	11
8	Betis	8	3	2	3	-1	11
9	Ath Bilbao	7	2	3	2	+2	9
10	Sevilla	8	2	3	3	-2	9
11	Osasuna	8	2	3	3	-3	9
12	Espanol	8	1	5	2	-1	8
13	Getafe	8	2	2	4	-5	8
14	Cadiz	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Celta	8	2	1	5	-10	7
16	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-2	6
17	Girona	8	1	3	4	-3	6
18	Valladolid	8	1	1	6	-11	4
19	Almeria	8	0	2	6	-11	2
20	Elche	8	0	2	6	-14	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.