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La Liga

Referee: Javier Alberola

Sevilla

S S T T S

2–0

Full-time

Elche

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Elche

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

33%

83%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,0

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,7

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,8

This season — La Liga · 26/26 matches

Win Ø 41%

62%

19%

Points per game

2,0

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

31%

50%

Both score Ø 47%

35%

58%

Average goals

2,2

2,4

Scored

1,4

0,9

Conceded

0,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,6

-0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

67% Possession 33%

13 Shots 11

8 Shots on target 5

0 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 6

4 Corners 1

9 Free kicks against 8

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Elche 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	27	19	6	2	+32	63
2	Barcelona	27	18	5	4	+38	59
3	Real Madrid	27	17	6	4	+24	57
4	Sevilla	26	16	3	7	+16	51
5	Sociedad	27	12	9	6	+21	45
6	Betis	27	13	3	11	-5	42
7	Villarreal	27	9	13	5	+7	40
8	Granada	27	10	6	11	-11	36
9	Levante	27	8	11	8	+1	35
10	Ath Bilbao	27	9	7	11	+6	34
11	Celta	27	8	10	9	-6	34
12	Valencia	27	7	9	11	-5	30
13	Osasuna	27	7	8	12	-12	29
14	Cadiz	27	7	8	12	-19	29
15	Getafe	27	7	7	13	-11	28
16	Valladolid	27	5	11	11	-12	26
17	Elche	26	5	9	12	-15	24
18	Alaves	27	5	8	14	-20	23
19	Eibar	27	4	10	13	-11	22
20	Huesca	27	3	11	13	-18	20

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	14	10	3	1	+20	33
2	Barcelona	14	9	4	1	+22	31
3	Real Madrid	13	9	1	3	+14	28
4	Sevilla	13	9	1	3	+11	28
5	Granada	14	8	3	3	+4	27
6	Sociedad	13	6	5	2	+13	23
7	Ath Bilbao	13	7	2	4	+10	23
8	Betis	13	7	2	4	+2	23
9	Levante	14	5	7	2	+4	22
10	Villarreal	13	5	6	2	+4	21
11	Celta	13	6	3	4	+0	21
12	Valencia	13	5	5	3	+5	20
13	Getafe	14	5	4	5	+3	19
14	Osasuna	14	4	4	6	-6	16
15	Elche	13	3	6	4	-5	15
16	Alaves	14	3	5	6	-6	14
17	Valladolid	13	3	4	6	-7	13
18	Cadiz	14	3	4	7	-10	13
19	Huesca	13	2	5	6	-6	11
20	Eibar	14	1	6	7	-9	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	9	3	1	+12	30
2	Real Madrid	14	8	5	1	+10	29
3	Barcelona	13	9	1	3	+16	28
4	Sevilla	13	7	2	4	+5	23
5	Sociedad	14	6	4	4	+8	22
6	Villarreal	14	4	7	3	+3	19
7	Betis	14	6	1	7	-7	19
8	Cadiz	13	4	4	5	-9	16
9	Eibar	13	3	4	6	-2	13
10	Levante	13	3	4	6	-3	13
11	Valladolid	14	2	7	5	-5	13
12	Celta	14	2	7	5	-6	13
13	Osasuna	13	3	4	6	-6	13
14	Ath Bilbao	14	2	5	7	-4	11
15	Valencia	14	2	4	8	-10	10
16	Elche	13	2	3	8	-10	9
17	Huesca	14	1	6	7	-12	9
18	Alaves	13	2	3	8	-14	9
19	Getafe	13	2	3	8	-14	9
20	Granada	13	2	3	8	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.