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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Valencia

S U S U U

1–2

Full-time

Osasuna

S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,7

Scored

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 31/31 matches

Win Ø 34%

32%

35%

Points per game

1,4

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

55%

39%

Both score Ø 52%

68%

35%

Average goals

2,8

2,3

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

1,4

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%

11 Shots 9

4 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 5

2 Offside 5

11 Free kicks against 22

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 9. · Osasuna 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	31	22	6	3	+37	72
2	Barcelona	30	17	9	4	+29	60
3	Sevilla	31	16	12	3	+22	60
4	Ath Madrid	31	17	6	8	+19	57
5	Betis	32	17	6	9	+19	57
6	Sociedad	32	15	10	7	+2	55
7	Villarreal	31	12	10	9	+19	46
8	Ath Bilbao	31	11	12	8	+6	45
9	Valencia	31	10	12	9	-1	42
10	Osasuna	31	11	8	12	-9	41
11	Espanol	31	10	9	12	-6	39
12	Celta	31	9	9	13	-1	36
13	Elche	32	9	8	15	-9	35
14	Vallecano	31	9	7	15	-6	34
15	Getafe	31	7	11	13	-7	32
16	Granada	31	6	11	14	-17	29
17	Mallorca	32	7	8	17	-26	29
18	Cadiz	31	5	13	13	-17	28
19	Alaves	32	6	7	19	-28	25
20	Levante	31	4	10	17	-26	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	16	11	4	1	+21	37
2	Sevilla	15	11	4	0	+19	37
3	Ath Madrid	15	10	3	2	+15	33
4	Villarreal	16	9	5	2	+21	32
5	Barcelona	14	10	2	2	+19	32
6	Sociedad	16	9	5	2	+6	32
7	Espanol	16	9	4	3	+7	31
8	Betis	16	9	2	5	+12	29
9	Vallecano	16	8	4	4	+10	28
10	Ath Bilbao	15	8	3	4	+9	27
11	Getafe	15	7	4	4	+7	25
12	Elche	16	6	5	5	+3	23
13	Valencia	15	5	7	3	+4	22
14	Mallorca	16	5	6	5	-3	21
15	Osasuna	16	5	6	5	-5	21
16	Celta	16	5	4	7	+0	19
17	Alaves	16	5	4	7	-5	19
18	Granada	15	4	5	6	-5	17
19	Levante	16	3	7	6	-4	16
20	Cadiz	16	2	8	6	-7	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	2	2	+16	35
2	Barcelona	16	7	7	2	+10	28
3	Betis	16	8	4	4	+7	28
4	Ath Madrid	16	7	3	6	+4	24
5	Sevilla	16	5	8	3	+3	23
6	Sociedad	16	6	5	5	-4	23
7	Osasuna	15	6	2	7	-4	20
8	Valencia	16	5	5	6	-5	20
9	Ath Bilbao	16	3	9	4	-3	18
10	Celta	15	4	5	6	-1	17
11	Villarreal	15	3	5	7	-2	14
12	Cadiz	15	3	5	7	-10	14
13	Granada	16	2	6	8	-12	12
14	Elche	16	3	3	10	-12	12
15	Espanol	15	1	5	9	-13	8
16	Mallorca	16	2	2	12	-23	8
17	Getafe	16	0	7	9	-14	7
18	Vallecano	15	1	3	11	-16	6
19	Levante	15	1	3	11	-22	6
20	Alaves	16	1	3	12	-23	6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.