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La Liga

Referee: José Sánchez

Villarreal

S U T S S

0–0

Full-time

Real Madrid

S T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Real Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,3

Scored

2,8

1,5

Conceded

0,8

Goal diff per game

+2,0

+0,7

This season — La Liga · 23/23 matches

Win Ø 55%

39%

70%

Points per game

1,5

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

48%

61%

Both score Ø 52%

43%

61%

Average goals

2,7

3,0

Scored

1,7

2,1

Conceded

1,0

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,7

+1,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

44% Possession 56%

9 Shots 17

2 Shots on target 6

5 Blocked shots 4

5 Goalkeeper saves 2

3 Corners 3

3 Offside 4

11 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 6. · Real Madrid 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	23	16	5	2	+28	53
2	Sevilla	24	14	8	2	+20	50
3	Betis	23	12	4	7	+14	40
4	Barcelona	22	10	8	4	+11	38
5	Ath Madrid	22	10	6	6	+8	36
6	Villarreal	23	9	8	6	+15	35
7	Sociedad	22	9	8	5	+1	35
8	Ath Bilbao	23	8	10	5	+5	34
9	Celta	24	8	7	9	+3	31
10	Vallecano	22	9	4	9	+3	31
11	Valencia	23	7	9	7	-1	30
12	Osasuna	23	7	8	8	-5	29
13	Espanol	23	7	6	10	-5	27
14	Elche	24	6	8	10	-7	26
15	Getafe	23	6	7	10	-3	25
16	Granada	23	5	9	9	-8	24
17	Mallorca	22	5	8	9	-15	23
18	Cadiz	24	3	10	11	-18	19
19	Alaves	23	4	5	14	-21	17
20	Levante	22	1	8	13	-25	11

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	12	9	3	0	+16	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	4	0	+17	28
3	Vallecano	11	8	2	1	+15	26
4	Villarreal	12	7	3	2	+16	24
5	Barcelona	11	7	2	2	+10	23
6	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+9	21
7	Betis	12	6	2	4	+9	20
8	Getafe	12	6	2	4	+6	20
9	Espanol	11	6	2	3	+3	20
10	Sociedad	11	5	4	2	+1	19
11	Valencia	12	4	6	2	+5	18
12	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
13	Elche	11	4	5	2	+2	17
14	Mallorca	11	3	6	2	+1	15
15	Granada	11	4	3	4	-1	15
16	Celta	12	4	2	6	+0	14
17	Osasuna	12	2	6	4	-6	12
18	Alaves	12	3	3	6	-6	12
19	Levante	11	1	6	4	-6	9
20	Cadiz	12	0	7	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	8	1	2	+11	25
2	Betis	11	6	2	3	+5	20
3	Sevilla	12	5	5	2	+4	20
4	Celta	12	4	5	3	+3	17
5	Ath Bilbao	12	3	8	1	+3	17
6	Osasuna	11	5	2	4	+1	17
7	Sociedad	11	4	4	3	+0	16
8	Barcelona	11	3	6	2	+1	15
9	Ath Madrid	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Valencia	11	3	3	5	-6	12
11	Cadiz	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Villarreal	11	2	5	4	-1	11
13	Granada	12	1	6	5	-7	9
14	Elche	13	2	3	8	-9	9
15	Mallorca	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-8	7
17	Getafe	11	0	5	6	-9	5
18	Vallecano	11	1	2	8	-12	5
19	Alaves	11	1	2	8	-15	5
20	Levante	11	0	2	9	-19	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.