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La Liga

Referee: Mario Melero

Osasuna

S T S U S

0–3

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U S T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Osasuna Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

17%

67%

Average goals

2,2

4,2

Scored

1,3

2,2

Conceded

0,8

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,5

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 40%

33%

46%

Points per game

1,3

1,6

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

33%

67%

Both score Ø 51%

38%

63%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,1

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

62% Possession 38%

14 Shots 5

4 Shots on target 4

4 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 2

1 Offside 0

12 Free kicks against 19

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Osasuna 9. · Ath Madrid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	24	16	6	2	+28	54
2	Sevilla	24	14	8	2	+20	50
3	Betis	24	13	4	7	+16	43
4	Villarreal	25	10	9	6	+18	39
5	Barcelona	23	10	9	4	+11	39
6	Ath Madrid	24	11	6	7	+8	39
7	Sociedad	23	10	8	5	+3	38
8	Ath Bilbao	24	8	10	6	+4	34
9	Osasuna	24	8	8	8	-2	32
10	Celta	24	8	7	9	+3	31
11	Vallecano	24	9	4	11	-1	31
12	Valencia	24	7	9	8	-2	30
13	Elche	25	7	8	10	-6	29
14	Espanol	24	7	7	10	-5	28
15	Mallorca	23	6	8	9	-14	26
16	Getafe	24	6	7	11	-4	25
17	Granada	25	5	9	11	-13	24
18	Alaves	24	5	5	14	-20	20
19	Cadiz	24	3	10	11	-18	19
20	Levante	24	2	8	14	-26	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	12	9	3	0	+16	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	4	0	+17	28
3	Vallecano	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	Villarreal	13	7	4	2	+16	25
5	Ath Madrid	12	7	3	2	+9	24
6	Barcelona	11	7	2	2	+10	23
7	Sociedad	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Espanol	12	6	3	3	+3	21
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	+9	20
10	Getafe	12	6	2	4	+6	20
11	Elche	12	5	5	2	+3	20
12	Valencia	12	4	6	2	+5	18
13	Mallorca	12	4	6	2	+2	18
14	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
15	Granada	12	4	3	5	-4	15
16	Alaves	13	4	3	6	-5	15
17	Celta	12	4	2	6	+0	14
18	Osasuna	12	2	6	4	-6	12
19	Levante	12	1	6	5	-8	9
20	Cadiz	12	0	7	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+11	26
2	Betis	12	7	2	3	+7	23
3	Osasuna	12	6	2	4	+4	20
4	Sevilla	12	5	5	2	+4	20
5	Celta	12	4	5	3	+3	17
6	Ath Bilbao	13	3	8	2	+2	17
7	Barcelona	12	3	7	2	+1	16
8	Sociedad	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Ath Madrid	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Villarreal	12	3	5	4	+2	14
11	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-7	12
12	Cadiz	12	3	3	6	-9	12
13	Elche	13	2	3	8	-9	9
14	Granada	13	1	6	6	-9	9
15	Mallorca	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-8	7
17	Getafe	12	0	5	7	-10	5
18	Vallecano	12	1	2	9	-13	5
19	Alaves	11	1	2	8	-15	5
20	Levante	12	1	2	9	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.