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La Liga

Referee: Jesús Gil

Granada

U T T T T

1–4

Full-time

Villarreal

U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Granada Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,3

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,2

2,5

Scored

0,5

2,0

Conceded

1,7

0,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 30%

21%

38%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

42%

46%

Both score Ø 50%

58%

42%

Average goals

2,6

2,5

Scored

1,1

1,6

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,6

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

38% Possession 62%

20 Shots 15

5 Shots on target 7

7 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

9 Corners 2

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 10

3 Yellow cards 6

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Granada 17. · Villarreal 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	24	16	6	2	+28	54
2	Sevilla	24	14	8	2	+20	50
3	Betis	24	13	4	7	+16	43
4	Barcelona	23	10	9	4	+11	39
5	Ath Madrid	24	11	6	7	+8	39
6	Sociedad	23	10	8	5	+3	38
7	Villarreal	24	9	9	6	+15	36
8	Ath Bilbao	24	8	10	6	+4	34
9	Osasuna	24	8	8	8	-2	32
10	Celta	24	8	7	9	+3	31
11	Vallecano	24	9	4	11	-1	31
12	Valencia	24	7	9	8	-2	30
13	Elche	25	7	8	10	-6	29
14	Espanol	24	7	7	10	-5	28
15	Mallorca	23	6	8	9	-14	26
16	Getafe	24	6	7	11	-4	25
17	Granada	24	5	9	10	-10	24
18	Alaves	24	5	5	14	-20	20
19	Cadiz	24	3	10	11	-18	19
20	Levante	24	2	8	14	-26	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	12	9	3	0	+16	30
2	Real Madrid	12	8	4	0	+17	28
3	Vallecano	12	8	2	2	+12	26
4	Villarreal	13	7	4	2	+16	25
5	Ath Madrid	12	7	3	2	+9	24
6	Barcelona	11	7	2	2	+10	23
7	Sociedad	12	6	4	2	+3	22
8	Espanol	12	6	3	3	+3	21
9	Betis	12	6	2	4	+9	20
10	Getafe	12	6	2	4	+6	20
11	Elche	12	5	5	2	+3	20
12	Valencia	12	4	6	2	+5	18
13	Mallorca	12	4	6	2	+2	18
14	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
15	Granada	11	4	3	4	-1	15
16	Alaves	13	4	3	6	-5	15
17	Celta	12	4	2	6	+0	14
18	Osasuna	12	2	6	4	-6	12
19	Levante	12	1	6	5	-8	9
20	Cadiz	12	0	7	5	-9	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	8	2	2	+11	26
2	Betis	12	7	2	3	+7	23
3	Osasuna	12	6	2	4	+4	20
4	Sevilla	12	5	5	2	+4	20
5	Celta	12	4	5	3	+3	17
6	Ath Bilbao	13	3	8	2	+2	17
7	Barcelona	12	3	7	2	+1	16
8	Sociedad	11	4	4	3	+0	16
9	Ath Madrid	12	4	3	5	-1	15
10	Valencia	12	3	3	6	-7	12
11	Cadiz	12	3	3	6	-9	12
12	Villarreal	11	2	5	4	-1	11
13	Elche	13	2	3	8	-9	9
14	Granada	13	1	6	6	-9	9
15	Mallorca	11	2	2	7	-16	8
16	Espanol	12	1	4	7	-8	7
17	Getafe	12	0	5	7	-10	5
18	Vallecano	12	1	2	9	-13	5
19	Alaves	11	1	2	8	-15	5
20	Levante	12	1	2	9	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.