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La Liga

Referee: Carlos del Cerro

Sevilla

S T S S U

2–0

Full-time

Osasuna

S S S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Osasuna

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,0

2,5

Scored

2,0

1,3

Conceded

1,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 10/11 matches

Win Ø 53%

60%

45%

Points per game

2,1

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 38%

30%

45%

Both score Ø 48%

40%

55%

Average goals

2,4

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,3

Conceded

0,7

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

16 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 5

5 Offside 3

17 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 3. · Osasuna 7. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Sociedad	11	7	3	1	+7	24
3	Sevilla	10	6	3	1	+10	21
4	Betis	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Vallecano	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	Ath Madrid	10	5	4	1	+5	19
7	Osasuna	11	5	4	2	+1	19
8	Ath Bilbao	10	4	5	1	+4	17
9	Barcelona	10	4	3	3	+4	15
10	Espanol	11	3	5	3	+0	14
11	Valencia	11	3	4	4	-1	13
12	Mallorca	11	3	4	4	-6	13
13	Villarreal	10	2	6	2	+3	12
14	Celta	11	3	1	7	-4	10
15	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Alaves	10	3	0	7	-8	9
17	Granada	10	1	5	4	-6	8
18	Cadiz	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Levante	11	0	6	5	-9	6
20	Getafe	11	0	3	8	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+7	13
3	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+4	13
4	Sevilla	4	4	0	0	+9	12
5	Betis	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+3	11
7	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
8	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	9
9	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	9
10	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+8	8
11	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
12	Valencia	5	2	2	1	+3	8
13	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Alaves	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Levante	5	0	4	1	-2	4
18	Celta	6	1	0	5	-5	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Osasuna	5	4	1	0	+5	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Betis	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Celta	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Villarreal	5	0	4	1	-1	4
12	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Granada	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Elche	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Barcelona	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Levante	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Getafe	6	0	2	4	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.