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La Liga

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos

Sevilla

S T U S T

1–0

Full-time

Alaves

U T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,7

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,3

3,3

Scored

1,0

1,8

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

+0,3

This season — La Liga · 37/37 matches

Win Ø 43%

62%

24%

Points per game

2,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

35%

46%

Both score Ø 46%

38%

54%

Average goals

2,3

2,5

Scored

1,4

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

69% Possession 31%

11 Shots 11

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 1

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

6 Corners 4

2 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 8

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 4. · Alaves 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	38	26	8	4	+42	86
2	Real Madrid	38	25	9	4	+39	84
3	Barcelona	38	24	7	7	+47	79
4	Sevilla	37	23	5	9	+19	74
5	Sociedad	38	17	11	10	+21	62
6	Betis	38	17	10	11	+0	61
7	Villarreal	38	15	13	10	+16	58
8	Celta	38	14	11	13	-2	53
9	Ath Bilbao	38	11	13	14	+4	46
10	Granada	38	13	7	18	-18	46
11	Osasuna	38	11	11	16	-11	44
12	Cadiz	38	11	11	16	-22	44
13	Valencia	38	10	13	15	-3	43
14	Levante	38	9	14	15	-11	41
15	Getafe	38	9	11	18	-15	38
16	Alaves	37	9	11	17	-20	38
17	Elche	38	8	12	18	-21	36
18	Huesca	38	7	13	18	-19	34
19	Valladolid	38	5	16	17	-23	31
20	Eibar	38	6	12	20	-23	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	19	15	3	1	+30	48
2	Real Madrid	19	13	3	3	+20	42
3	Sevilla	18	13	1	4	+15	40
4	Barcelona	19	11	5	3	+24	38
5	Betis	19	10	5	4	+6	35
6	Sociedad	19	9	6	4	+13	33
7	Valencia	19	8	7	4	+11	31
8	Granada	19	9	4	6	+0	31
9	Ath Bilbao	19	8	6	5	+10	30
10	Villarreal	19	8	6	5	+6	30
11	Celta	19	9	3	7	+0	30
12	Osasuna	19	7	5	7	-2	26
13	Getafe	19	6	6	7	+2	24
14	Levante	19	5	9	5	-3	24
15	Alaves	19	6	6	7	-4	24
16	Elche	19	5	8	6	-5	23
17	Huesca	19	5	7	7	-4	22
18	Cadiz	19	5	5	9	-13	20
19	Valladolid	19	3	7	9	-11	16
20	Eibar	19	2	7	10	-9	13

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	19	12	6	1	+19	42
2	Barcelona	19	13	2	4	+23	41
3	Ath Madrid	19	11	5	3	+12	38
4	Sevilla	19	10	4	5	+4	34
5	Sociedad	19	8	5	6	+8	29
6	Villarreal	19	7	7	5	+10	28
7	Betis	19	7	5	7	-6	26
8	Cadiz	19	6	6	7	-9	24
9	Celta	19	5	8	6	-2	23
10	Osasuna	19	4	6	9	-9	18
11	Levante	19	4	5	10	-8	17
12	Eibar	19	4	5	10	-14	17
13	Ath Bilbao	19	3	7	9	-6	16
14	Valladolid	19	2	9	8	-12	15
15	Granada	19	4	3	12	-18	15
16	Alaves	18	3	5	10	-16	14
17	Getafe	19	3	5	11	-17	14
18	Elche	19	3	4	12	-16	13
19	Valencia	19	2	6	11	-14	12
20	Huesca	19	2	6	11	-15	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.