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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martinez Munuera

Sevilla

T T S S T

2–0

Full-time

Alaves

U S U S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sevilla Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

67%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

3,5

2,5

Scored

1,5

1,2

Conceded

2,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — La Liga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 41%

41%

Points per game

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

48%

Both score Ø 50%

52%

48%

Average goals

2,9

2,3

Scored

1,6

1,1

Conceded

1,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

64% Possession 36%

18 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 1

3 Offside 2

13 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Sevilla 7. · Alaves 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	30	21	7	2	+48	70
2	Ath Madrid	30	18	8	4	+26	62
3	Real Madrid	30	18	3	9	+17	57
4	Getafe	30	12	11	7	+10	47
5	Valencia	30	10	16	4	+9	46
6	Alaves	29	12	8	9	-4	44
7	Sevilla	29	12	7	10	+10	43
8	Ath Bilbao	30	10	13	7	-1	43
9	Betis	29	11	7	11	-4	40
10	Eibar	30	9	12	9	-1	39
11	Sociedad	29	9	10	10	+0	37
12	Leganes	29	9	9	11	-5	36
13	Espanol	30	9	8	13	-11	35
14	Girona	30	8	10	12	-9	34
15	Levante	30	8	8	14	-12	32
16	Villarreal	30	6	12	12	-5	30
17	Valladolid	29	7	9	13	-16	30
18	Celta	30	7	8	15	-10	29
19	Vallecano	30	6	6	18	-22	24
20	Huesca	30	5	8	17	-20	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	15	12	2	1	+18	38
2	Barcelona	15	11	3	1	+28	36
3	Real Madrid	15	10	1	4	+14	31
4	Eibar	16	8	5	3	+10	29
5	Ath Bilbao	16	7	7	2	+4	28
6	Sevilla	14	8	3	3	+12	27
7	Espanol	15	8	2	5	+0	26
8	Getafe	14	8	1	5	+9	25
9	Valencia	16	5	10	1	+9	25
10	Leganes	14	6	6	2	+5	24
11	Alaves	14	6	6	2	+2	24
12	Betis	15	6	4	5	-2	22
13	Celta	15	5	4	6	+1	19
14	Sociedad	14	4	5	5	+0	17
15	Villarreal	16	3	7	6	+0	16
16	Levante	14	4	4	6	-7	16
17	Huesca	15	3	5	7	-5	14
18	Vallecano	15	3	5	7	-9	14
19	Valladolid	14	3	4	7	-8	13
20	Girona	15	2	6	7	-9	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	15	10	4	1	+20	34
2	Real Madrid	15	8	2	5	+3	26
3	Ath Madrid	15	6	6	3	+8	24
4	Getafe	16	4	10	2	+1	22
5	Girona	15	6	4	5	+0	22
6	Valencia	14	5	6	3	+0	21
7	Sociedad	15	5	5	5	+0	20
8	Alaves	15	6	2	7	-6	20
9	Betis	14	5	3	6	-2	18
10	Valladolid	15	4	5	6	-8	17
11	Sevilla	15	4	4	7	-2	16
12	Levante	16	4	4	8	-5	16
13	Ath Bilbao	14	3	6	5	-5	15
14	Villarreal	14	3	5	6	-5	14
15	Leganes	15	3	3	9	-10	12
16	Celta	15	2	4	9	-11	10
17	Eibar	14	1	7	6	-11	10
18	Vallecano	15	3	1	11	-13	10
19	Espanol	15	1	6	8	-11	9
20	Huesca	15	2	3	10	-15	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.