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La Liga

Referee: Jorge Figueroa

Barcelona

S T S T T

1–1

Full-time

Alaves

S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,2

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 35%

40%

30%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 35%

50%

20%

Both score Ø 35%

60%

10%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

1,1

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

79% Possession 21%

16 Shots 3

5 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 0

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

9 Corners 0

1 Offside 2

11 Free kicks against 11

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Barcelona 10. · Alaves 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Sevilla	11	7	3	1	+12	24
3	Sociedad	11	7	3	1	+7	24
4	Betis	11	6	3	2	+7	21
5	Vallecano	11	6	1	4	+6	19
6	Ath Madrid	10	5	4	1	+5	19
7	Osasuna	12	5	4	3	-1	19
8	Ath Bilbao	10	4	5	1	+4	17
9	Valencia	12	4	4	4	+1	16
10	Barcelona	10	4	3	3	+4	15
11	Espanol	11	3	5	3	+0	14
12	Mallorca	11	3	4	4	-6	13
13	Villarreal	11	2	6	3	+1	12
14	Celta	11	3	1	7	-4	10
15	Elche	12	2	4	6	-6	10
16	Alaves	10	3	0	7	-8	9
17	Granada	10	1	5	4	-6	8
18	Cadiz	11	1	5	5	-8	8
19	Levante	11	0	6	5	-9	6
20	Getafe	11	0	3	8	-13	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	5	5	0	0	+11	15
2	Vallecano	5	5	0	0	+11	15
3	Barcelona	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sociedad	5	4	1	0	+4	13
5	Betis	6	3	2	1	+5	11
6	Valencia	6	3	2	1	+5	11
7	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+3	11
8	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
9	Ath Madrid	5	2	3	0	+3	9
10	Mallorca	6	2	3	1	+1	9
11	Real Madrid	4	2	2	0	+8	8
12	Villarreal	5	2	2	1	+4	8
13	Elche	6	1	4	1	+0	7
14	Osasuna	6	1	3	2	-4	6
15	Alaves	6	2	0	4	-5	6
16	Granada	5	1	2	2	-1	5
17	Levante	5	0	4	1	-2	4
18	Celta	6	1	0	5	-5	3
19	Cadiz	6	0	3	3	-5	3
20	Getafe	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	7	5	1	1	+6	16
2	Osasuna	6	4	1	1	+3	13
3	Sociedad	6	3	2	1	+3	11
4	Ath Madrid	5	3	1	1	+2	10
5	Betis	5	3	1	1	+2	10
6	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+1	9
7	Celta	5	2	1	2	+1	7
8	Ath Bilbao	5	1	4	0	+1	7
9	Cadiz	5	1	2	2	-3	5
10	Valencia	6	1	2	3	-4	5
11	Villarreal	6	0	4	2	-3	4
12	Vallecano	6	1	1	4	-5	4
13	Mallorca	5	1	1	3	-7	4
14	Espanol	5	0	3	2	-3	3
15	Alaves	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Granada	5	0	3	2	-5	3
17	Elche	6	1	0	5	-6	3
18	Barcelona	4	0	2	2	-3	2
19	Levante	6	0	2	4	-7	2
20	Getafe	6	0	2	4	-7	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.