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La Liga
Referee: Miguel Ortiz
Alaves
T T T S T
0–1
Full-time
Betis
S U S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
17%
50%
Both score Ø 25%
0%
50%
Average goals
1,5
2,7
Scored
0,2
1,5
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,2
+0,3
This season — La Liga · 7/8 matches
Win Ø 26%
14%
38%
Points per game
0,4
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 34%
29%
38%
Both score Ø 39%
14%
63%
Average goals
2,0
2,5
Scored
0,3
1,4
Conceded
1,7
1,1
Goal diff per game
-1,4
+0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

36% Possession 64%
14 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 4
8 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 2
7 Corners 7
3 Offside 2
8 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Alaves 19. · Betis 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 9 6 2 1 +5 20
2 Real Madrid 8 5 2 1 +12 17
3 Sevilla 8 5 2 1 +8 17
4 Ath Madrid 8 5 2 1 +5 17
5 Osasuna 9 5 2 2 +1 17
6 Vallecano 9 5 1 3 +6 16
7 Barcelona 8 4 3 1 +6 15
8 Ath Bilbao 8 3 4 1 +3 13
9 Valencia 9 3 3 3 +2 12
10 Betis 8 3 3 2 +2 12
11 Villarreal 8 2 5 1 +4 11
12 Mallorca 9 3 2 4 -6 11
13 Espanol 8 2 3 3 -2 9
14 Elche 9 2 3 4 -4 9
15 Cadiz 8 1 4 3 -4 7
16 Celta 9 2 1 6 -5 7
17 Granada 8 1 3 4 -6 6
18 Levante 9 0 5 4 -7 5
19 Alaves 7 1 0 6 -10 3
20 Getafe 9 0 2 7 -10 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Alaves Betis
14′
🟨 Edgar Gonzalez
Half-time 0–0
Luis Rioja 🟨
60′
64′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ Rodri
65′
🔁 Tello
↦ Sergio Canales
M. Sylla 🔁
↦ Miguel de la Fuente
69′
76′
🔁 Borja Iglesias
↦ Willian José
Edgar Méndez 🔁
↦ F. Pellistri
77′
M. Loum 🔁
↦ Pina
77′
89′
Borja Iglesias 0–1
Joaquín
Manu García 🔁
↦ Toni Moya
91′
91′
🔁 G. Rodríguez
↦ N. Fekir
Full-time 0–1

Line-ups

Alaves

4-4-2
1 Pacheco G
5 Laguardia D
23 Ximo Navarro D
3 Rubén Duarte D
4 M. Miazga D
8 Pina M
15 Toni Moya M
18 F. Pellistri M
9 Joselu F
11 Luis Rioja M
24 Miguel de la Fuente F
Bench (12)
7 M. Sylla
17 Edgar Méndez
6 M. Loum
14 Manu García
13 Sivera
20 Pere Pons
27 Javi López
2 Alberto Rodríguez
19 Iván Martín
21 Martín Aguirregabiria
22 F. Lejeune
10 J. Guidetti

Coach: Javi Calleja

Betis

4-2-3-1
13 Rui Silva G
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
19 Bellerín D
3 Edgar González D
18 A. Guardado M
10 Sergio Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
28 Rodri M
12 Willian José F
8 N. Fekir M
Bench (12)
17 Joaquín
11 Tello
9 Borja Iglesias
21 G. Rodríguez
25 C. Bravo
2 Martín Montoya
7 Juanmi
33 Juan Miranda
16 G. Pezzella
4 P. Akouokou
20 D. Lainez
24 Aitor Ruibal

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,49
U
3,34
B ✓
2,17
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,13
U2,5 ✓
1,73
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Miguel Ortiz · 63 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
22,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,35 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.