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La Liga
Referee: José Munuera
Levante
T U U U S
0–1
Full-time
Ath Madrid
U U U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Ath Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,3
3,0
Scored
1,2
2,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 40%
37%
43%
Points per game
1,3
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
57%
27%
Both score Ø 53%
63%
43%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
1,2
1,3
Conceded
1,4
0,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

56% Possession 44%
12 Shots 12
0 Shots on target 7
7 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 0
10 Corners 4
0 Offside 4
12 Free kicks against 14
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Levante 11. · Ath Madrid 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 30 20 5 5 +38 65
2 Real Madrid 30 19 8 3 +36 65
3 Sevilla 31 14 11 6 +12 53
4 Ath Madrid 30 13 13 4 +16 52
5 Getafe 30 13 9 8 +11 48
6 Villarreal 31 14 6 11 +9 48
7 Sociedad 30 14 5 11 +9 47
8 Valencia 30 12 10 8 -2 46
9 Granada 31 12 7 12 +1 43
10 Ath Bilbao 30 10 12 8 +7 42
11 Levante 30 11 5 14 -6 38
12 Osasuna 30 8 11 11 -11 35
13 Alaves 30 9 8 13 -14 35
14 Betis 30 8 10 12 -8 34
15 Valladolid 30 7 12 11 -10 33
16 Celta 30 6 12 12 -7 30
17 Eibar 30 7 8 15 -16 29
18 Mallorca 30 7 5 18 -21 26
19 Leganes 31 5 10 16 -21 25
20 Espanol 30 5 9 16 -23 24

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
5,84
U
3,65
B ✓
1,67
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,17
U2,5 ✓
1,70
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

José Munuera · 114 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,2 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.