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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos
Ath Madrid
U T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Levante
S T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Levante
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
33%
100%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,3
1,7
Conceded
0,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — La Liga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 44%
44%
44%
Points per game
1,8
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
17%
67%
Both score Ø 53%
39%
67%
Average goals
1,7
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,4
Conceded
0,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

39% Possession 61%
17 Shots 6
8 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 1
2 Goalkeeper saves 6
5 Corners 5
2 Offside 2
9 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Levante 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Real Madrid 19 11 7 1 +24 40
2 Barcelona 18 12 3 3 +26 39
3 Sevilla 19 10 5 4 +6 35
4 Ath Madrid 18 8 8 2 +9 32
5 Sociedad 18 9 4 5 +9 31
6 Valencia 19 8 7 4 +4 31
7 Getafe 19 8 6 5 +6 30
8 Ath Bilbao 19 7 8 4 +7 29
9 Levante 18 8 2 8 -2 26
10 Villarreal 18 7 4 7 +6 25
11 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
12 Osasuna 18 5 8 5 +1 23
13 Betis 18 6 5 7 -6 23
14 Valladolid 19 4 9 6 -6 21
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 19 5 4 10 -11 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 -14 15
18 Celta 18 3 5 10 -13 14
19 Leganes 19 3 5 11 -14 14
20 Espanol 18 2 4 12 -22 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,28
U
5,65
B
11,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,22
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos · 119 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.