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La Liga
Referee: Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva
Levante
S T U T S
1–2
Full-time
Real Madrid
S S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Levante Real Madrid
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
33%
83%
Both score Ø 42%
17%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,5
Scored
1,0
2,5
Conceded
1,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,5
+1,5
This season — La Liga · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 46%
33%
58%
Points per game
1,3
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
67%
54%
Both score Ø 50%
54%
46%
Average goals
3,3
2,9
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%
11 Shots 19
2 Shots on target 5
2 Blocked shots 8
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
17 Free kicks against 11
5 Yellow cards 3
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match Levante 13. · Real Madrid 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 25 17 6 2 +40 57
2 Ath Madrid 25 14 8 3 +19 50
3 Real Madrid 24 14 3 7 +12 45
4 Getafe 25 10 9 6 +10 39
5 Sevilla 25 10 7 8 +8 37
6 Alaves 25 10 7 8 -3 37
7 Betis 25 10 6 9 -1 36
8 Sociedad 24 9 7 8 +5 34
9 Valencia 25 6 15 4 +4 33
10 Ath Bilbao 25 7 12 6 -3 33
11 Eibar 25 7 10 8 -2 31
12 Leganes 25 7 9 9 -5 30
13 Levante 24 8 6 10 -7 30
14 Espanol 25 8 6 11 -10 30
15 Girona 24 6 9 9 -9 27
16 Valladolid 25 6 8 11 -12 26
17 Celta 25 6 7 12 -7 25
18 Villarreal 25 4 11 10 -7 23
19 Vallecano 25 6 5 14 -15 23
20 Huesca 25 4 7 14 -17 19

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Levante Real Madrid
Roger 🟨
25′
28′
🟨 Nacho Fernández
43′
K. Benzema 0–1
Half-time 0–1
Ruben Rochina 🟨
57′
C. Doukouré 🔁
↦ Rubén Rochina
60′
1–1 Roger Martí
José Luis Morales
60′
68′
🟨 Lucas Vázquez
69′
🔁 F. Valverde
↦ T. Kroos
R. Dwamena 🔁
↦ Roger Martí
73′
74′
🔁 G. Bale
↦ K. Benzema
78′
G. Bale 1–2
Pedro López 🟨
82′
83′
🔁 Marco Asensio
↦ Vinícius Júnior
Antonio Luna 🟨
84′
86′
🟨 Nacho Fernández
86′
🟥 Nacho Fernández
Ruben Rochina 🟨
88′
Ruben Rochina 🟥
88′
N. Vukčević 🔁
↦ E. Bardhi
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Levante

3-5-2
25 Aitor Fernández G
22 Luna D
14 Rúben Vezo D
18 E. Cabaco D
4 Rober D
16 Rubén Rochina M
24 Campaña M
11 José Luis Morales M
10 E. Bardhi M
9 Roger Martí F
7 M. Simon F
Bench (7)
5 C. Doukouré
20 R. Dwamena
17 N. Vukčević
23 Jason
6 Chema
13 Oier
19 Pedro López

Coach: Paco López

Real Madrid

4-3-3
25 T. Courtois G
6 Nacho D
2 Daniel Carvajal D
5 R. Varane D
23 Reguilón D
10 L. Modrić M
8 T. Kroos M
14 Casemiro M
17 Lucas Vázquez M
9 K. Benzema F
28 Vinícius Júnior M
Bench (7)
15 F. Valverde
11 G. Bale
20 Marco Asensio
12 Marcelo
3 Jesús Vallejo
1 K. Navas
24 Dani Ceballos

Coach: S. Solari

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ignacio Iglesias Villanueva · 79 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,6 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.