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La Liga
Referee: Guillermo Cuadra
Barcelona
S U T T U
5–2
Full-time
Betis
T S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Barcelona Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,3
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,8
This season — La Liga · 6/8 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 38%
50%
25%
Average goals
2,7
2,8
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

59% Possession 41%
18 Shots 12
9 Shots on target 6
1 Blocked shots 2
4 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 5
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Barcelona 13. · Betis 7.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sociedad 8 5 2 1 +14 17
2 Real Madrid 7 5 1 1 +8 16
3 Villarreal 8 4 3 1 +2 15
4 Ath Madrid 6 4 2 0 +11 14
5 Cadiz 8 4 2 2 +2 14
6 Granada 7 4 2 1 +0 14
7 Betis 8 4 0 4 -2 12
8 Getafe 7 3 2 2 +1 11
9 Elche 7 3 2 2 -1 11
10 Osasuna 7 3 1 3 +0 10
11 Ath Bilbao 7 3 0 4 -1 9
12 Eibar 9 2 3 4 -3 9
13 Barcelona 6 2 2 2 +4 8
14 Valencia 8 2 2 4 -2 8
15 Alaves 8 2 2 4 -3 8
16 Sevilla 6 2 1 3 +0 7
17 Celta 9 1 4 4 -9 7
18 Huesca 9 0 6 3 -8 6
19 Levante 7 1 2 4 -5 5
20 Valladolid 8 0 3 5 -8 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Barcelona Betis
1–0 O. Dembélé
A. Griezmann
22′
32′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
Ansu Fati 🟨
37′
Pedri 🟨
41′
45′
🟨 Álex Moreno
Half-time 1–0
L. Messi 🔁
↦ Ansu Fati
46′
47′
A. Sanabria 1–1
2–1 A. Griezmann
Jordi Alba
49′
Ousmane Dembélé ℹ️
VAR: Goal cancelled
59′
60′
🟥 Aïssa Mandi
3–1 L. Messi
61′
62′
🔁 Aitor Ruibal
↦ Joaquín
62′
🔁 Víctor Ruíz
↦ Tello
Trincão 🔁
↦ O. Dembélé
66′
71′
🔁 Loren Morón
↦ A. Sanabria
73′
Loren Morón 3–2
Álex Moreno
M. Braithwaite 🔁
↦ A. Griezmann
78′
4–2 L. Messi
Sergi Roberto
82′
M. Pjanić 🔁
↦ Busquets
86′
86′
🔁 Rodri
↦ Canales
5–2 Pedri
Sergi Roberto
90′
Full-time 5–2

Line-ups

Barcelona

4-4-2
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
15 C. Lenglet D
5 Busquets M
21 F. de Jong M
7 A. Griezmann F
11 O. Dembélé M
22 Ansu Fati F
16 Pedri M
Bench (12)
10 L. Messi
17 Trincão
9 M. Braithwaite
8 M. Pjanić
2 S. Dest
13 Neto
29 K. De La Fuente
12 Riqui Puig
28 Óscar Mingueza
36 Arnau Tenas
24 Junior Firpo
6 Carles Aleñá

Coach: R. Koeman

Betis

4-2-3-1
25 C. Bravo G
23 A. Mandi D
5 Marc Bartra D
15 Álex Moreno D
22 Emerson D
17 Joaquín M
10 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Rodríguez M
11 Tello M
19 A. Sanabria F
Bench (11)
24 Aitor Ruibal
6 Víctor Ruíz
16 Loren Morón
28 Rodri
9 Borja Iglesias
4 P. Akouokou
31 Carlos Marín
20 D. Lainez
2 Martín Montoya
1 Joel Robles
33 Juan Miranda

Coach: M. Pellegrini

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,40
U
5,12
B
7,35
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,46
U2,5
2,66
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Guillermo Cuadra · 111 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,0 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.