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Bundesliga
Referee: C Jäger
Ried
T T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Hartberg
T U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ried Hartberg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,5
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
83%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,2
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
2,7
2,2
Goal diff per game
-1,7
-1,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 27
3 Shots on target 4
1 Blocked shots 10
4 Goalkeeper saves 1
1 Corners 9
7 Offside 3
15 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ried 12. · Hartberg 8.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salzburg 6 6 0 0 +20 18
2 SK Rapid 6 5 1 0 +10 16
3 LASK 6 4 1 1 +6 13
4 St. Polten 6 3 1 2 +6 10
5 Sturm Graz 6 2 3 1 +4 9
6 Austria Vienna 6 2 1 3 -1 7
7 Wolfsberger AC 6 2 0 4 -3 6
8 Hartberg 6 1 3 2 -7 6
9 Tirol 6 1 2 3 -6 5
10 Altach 6 1 1 4 -9 4
11 Admira 6 1 1 4 -10 4
12 Ried 6 1 0 5 -10 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.