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Süper Lig

Referee: Cuneyt Cakir

Erzurumspor

T S U T T

1–1

Full-time

Goztep

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Erzurumspor Goztep

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — Süper Lig · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,8

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,8

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

13 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

4 Blocked shots 0

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 6

0 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 0

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Erzurumspor 15. · Goztep 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	7	5	2	0	+6	17
2	Alanyaspor	6	5	1	0	+13	16
3	Galatasaray	7	4	1	2	+4	13
4	Kasimpasa	8	3	3	2	+2	12
5	Karagumruk	7	3	2	2	+6	11
6	Rizespor	7	3	2	2	+2	11
7	Gaziantep	8	2	5	1	+1	11
8	Buyuksehyr	7	3	1	3	+1	10
9	Besiktas	7	3	1	3	-2	10
10	Antalyaspor	8	2	3	3	-3	9
11	Sivasspor	6	2	2	2	-1	8
12	Hatayspor	5	2	2	1	-3	8
13	Yeni Malatyaspor	7	2	2	3	-4	8
14	Goztep	6	1	4	1	+3	7
15	Erzurumspor	6	2	1	3	-3	7
16	Konyaspor	6	1	3	2	+1	6
17	Kayserispor	6	2	0	4	-5	6
18	Genclerbirligi	6	1	2	3	-3	5
19	Trabzonspor	7	1	2	4	-5	5
20	Denizlispor	6	1	2	3	-5	5
21	Ankaragücü	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Karagumruk	4	3	1	0	+9	10
2	Alanyaspor	3	3	0	0	+10	9
3	Gaziantep	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Kasimpasa	4	2	2	0	+3	8
5	Fenerbahce	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Hatayspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Rizespor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Antalyaspor	4	2	1	1	+2	7
9	Galatasaray	4	2	1	1	+2	7
10	Yeni Malatyaspor	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Goztep	3	1	1	1	+3	4
12	Konyaspor	3	1	1	1	+2	4
13	Buyuksehyr	3	1	1	1	+2	4
14	Besiktas	3	1	1	1	+0	4
15	Trabzonspor	4	1	0	3	-3	3
16	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	Denizlispor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
18	Genclerbirligi	3	0	2	1	-1	2
19	Erzurumspor	3	0	1	2	-2	1
20	Sivasspor	3	0	1	2	-4	1
21	Ankaragücü	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	4	3	1	0	+3	10
2	Sivasspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
3	Alanyaspor	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Galatasaray	3	2	0	1	+2	6
5	Erzurumspor	3	2	0	1	-1	6
6	Buyuksehyr	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Besiktas	4	2	0	2	-2	6
8	Rizespor	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Kasimpasa	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Goztep	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Gaziantep	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Genclerbirligi	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Kayserispor	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Denizlispor	3	1	0	2	-4	3
15	Konyaspor	3	0	2	1	-1	2
16	Trabzonspor	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Antalyaspor	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Ankaragücü	3	0	1	2	-3	1
19	Karagumruk	3	0	1	2	-3	1
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	0	1	3	-6	1
21	Hatayspor	2	0	1	1	-6	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.