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Ligue 2
Caen
T S T S T
2–1
Full-time
Nancy
S T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Caen Nancy
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
33%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 34%
17%
50%
Average goals
1,7
2,0
Scored
0,5
1,2
Conceded
1,2
0,8
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Ligue 2 · 9/8 matches
Win Ø 41%
44%
38%
Points per game
1,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 36%
33%
38%
Both score Ø 31%
11%
50%
Average goals
1,6
2,1
Scored
0,8
1,1
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

9 Shots 13
3 Shots on target 5
6 Corners 1
20 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Caen 9. · Nancy 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris FC 9 7 1 1 +10 22
2 Troyes 9 5 2 2 +8 17
3 Clermont 10 4 4 2 +6 16
4 Le Havre 10 5 1 4 -1 16
5 Grenoble 8 5 0 3 +5 15
6 Toulouse 9 4 3 2 +4 15
7 Sochaux 9 3 5 1 +2 14
8 Niort 8 4 2 2 +1 14
9 Caen 9 4 2 3 +0 14
10 Auxerre 9 4 1 4 +3 13
11 Dunkerque 9 4 1 4 +0 13
12 Guingamp 10 3 3 4 -1 12
13 Nancy 8 3 2 3 +1 11
14 Amiens 9 3 2 4 +0 11
15 Valenciennes 9 3 2 4 -1 11
16 Rodez 9 2 3 4 -8 9
17 Chateauroux 9 2 2 5 -2 8
18 Ajaccio 9 2 1 6 -10 7
19 Pau FC 9 1 3 5 -5 6
20 Chambly 9 1 2 6 -12 5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,21
U
2,92
B
3,59
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
2,55
U2,5
1,49
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.