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Ligue 1
Referee: B Bastien
Paris SG
S S S S S
3–0
Full-time
Rennes
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Paris SG Rennes
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 75%
100%
50%
Points per game
3,0
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 50%
17%
83%
Average goals
3,8
3,0
Scored
3,7
1,8
Conceded
0,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+3,5
+0,7
This season — Ligue 1 · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 67%
78%
56%
Points per game
2,3
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
56%
78%
Both score Ø 50%
11%
89%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
2,6
2,0
Conceded
0,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+2,2
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

49% Possession 51%
9 Shots 16
6 Shots on target 3
0 Blocked shots 6
3 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 7
1 Offside 1
19 Free kicks against 15
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Paris SG 1. · Rennes 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 9 7 0 2 +20 21
2 Lille 9 5 4 0 +11 19
3 Rennes 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Marseille 9 5 3 1 +4 18
5 Nice 9 5 2 2 +4 17
6 Montpellier 10 5 2 3 +3 17
7 Lyon 9 3 5 1 +6 14
8 Metz 9 4 2 3 +3 14
9 Monaco 9 4 2 3 +2 14
10 Lens 7 4 1 2 +0 13
11 Angers 9 4 1 4 -9 13
12 Bordeaux 10 3 3 4 -2 12
13 St Etienne 9 3 1 5 -4 10
14 Brest 9 3 0 6 -8 9
15 Reims 9 2 2 5 -2 8
16 Lorient 9 2 2 5 -3 8
17 Nantes 8 2 2 4 -4 8
18 Nimes 9 2 2 5 -5 8
19 Strasbourg 10 2 0 8 -9 6
20 Dijon 9 0 3 6 -14 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Paris SG Rennes
Ander Herrera 🟨
4′
1–0 M. Kean
Á. Di María
11′
Rafinha 🔁
↦ I. Gueye
13′
2–0 Á. Di María
Ander Herrera
21′
M. Bakker 🔁
↦ T. Kehrer
36′
Half-time 2–0
C. Dagba 🔁
↦ A. Florenzi
46′
Colin Dagba 🟨
49′
56′
🔁 C. Grenier
↦ J. Lea Siliki
56′
🔁 M. Terrier
↦ Y. Gboho
Danilo Pereira 🔁
↦ M. Kean
61′
67′
🔁 A. Hunou
↦ B. Bourigeaud
2–1 D. Da Silva
own goal
73′
79′
🔁 R. Del Castillo
↦ J. Doku
Layvin Kurzawa 🟨
86′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Paris SG

4-3-3
1 K. Navas G
20 L. Kurzawa D
5 Marquinhos D
24 A. Florenzi F
4 T. Kehrer D
22 A. Diallo D
11 Á. Di María F
21 Ander Herrera M
27 I. Gueye M
8 L. Paredes M
18 M. Kean F
Bench (9)
12 Rafinha
25 M. Bakker
31 C. Dagba
15 Danilo Pereira
16 Sergio Rico
30 A. Letellier
37 B. Fadiga
32 T. Pembele
36 K. Ruiz-Atil

Coach: T. Tuchel

Rennes

4-1-4-1
16 A. Gomis G
3 D. Da Silva D
27 H. Traoré D
6 N. Aguerd D
31 A. Truffert D
15 S. Nzonzi M
14 B. Bourigeaud M
12 J. Lea Siliki M
19 Y. Gboho M
9 S. Guirassy F
18 J. Doku M
Bench (9)
8 C. Grenier
7 M. Terrier
23 A. Hunou
22 R. Del Castillo
5 Dalbert Henrique
20 F. Tait
1 R. Salin
4 G. Nyamsi
33 L. Assignon

Coach: J. Stéphan

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,42
U
4,95
B
6,94
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,55
U2,5
2,42
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Bastien · 180 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.