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Bundesliga
Referee: F Willenborg
Augsburg
S U T T S
0–3
Full-time
Hertha
T T T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Augsburg Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
This season — Bundesliga · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
50%
83%
Average goals
2,7
3,8
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
2,2
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%
8 Shots 12
1 Shots on target 5
3 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 6
3 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 10
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Augsburg 6. · Hertha 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 6 5 0 1 +15 15
2 Dortmund 6 5 0 1 +11 15
3 RB Leipzig 6 4 1 1 +8 13
4 Leverkusen 6 3 3 0 +5 12
5 M'gladbach 6 3 2 1 +1 11
6 Augsburg 6 3 1 2 +2 10
7 Werder Bremen 7 2 4 1 +0 10
8 Stuttgart 6 2 3 1 +4 9
9 Union Berlin 6 2 3 1 +4 9
10 Ein Frankfurt 6 2 3 1 -2 9
11 Wolfsburg 6 1 5 0 +1 8
12 Hoffenheim 6 2 1 3 +0 7
13 Freiburg 6 1 3 2 -5 6
14 Hertha 6 1 1 4 -3 4
15 Bielefeld 6 1 1 4 -6 4
16 FC Koln 7 0 3 4 -5 3
17 Schalke 04 6 0 2 4 -17 2
18 Mainz 6 0 0 6 -13 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Augsburg Hertha
Daniel Caligiuri 🟨
18′
Jeffrey Gouweleeuw 🟨
38′
44′
Matheus Cunha 0–1
Half-time 0–1
46′
🔁 K. Piątek
↦ J. Córdoba
52′
D. Lukébakio 0–2
F. Niederlechner 🔁
↦ M. Gregoritsch
60′
A. Finnbogason 🔁
↦ A. Hahn
60′
Carlos Gruezo 🟨
66′
R. Khedira 🔁
↦ T. Strobl
76′
R. Oxford 🔁
↦ R. Vargas
77′
M. Richter 🔁
↦ C. Gruezo
77′
85′
K. Piątek 0–3
Matheus Cunha
88′
🔁 J. Ngankam
↦ D. Lukébakio
88′
🔁 E. Löwen
↦ V. Darida
92′
🔁 M. Leckie
↦ Matheus Cunha
92′
🔁 M. Dárdai
↦ D. Boyata
Full-time 0–3

Line-ups

Augsburg

4-4-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
19 F. Uduokhai D
2 R. Gumny D
22 Iago D
20 D. Caligiuri M
28 A. Hahn F
33 T. Strobl M
25 C. Gruezo M
16 R. Vargas M
11 M. Gregoritsch F
Bench (9)
7 F. Niederlechner
27 A. Finnbogason
8 R. Khedira
36 R. Oxford
23 M. Richter
3 M. Pedersen
40 T. Koubek
4 F. Götze
5 M. Suchý

Coach: H. Herrlich

Hertha

4-2-2-2
1 A. Schwolow G
2 P. Pekarík D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
20 D. Boyata D
5 N. Stark M
14 O. Alderete D
6 V. Darida M
8 M. Guendouzi M
15 J. Córdoba F
11 D. Lukébakio F
10 Matheus Cunha M
Bench (9)
9 K. Piątek
27 J. Ngankam
23 E. Löwen
7 M. Leckie
31 M. Dárdai
42 D. Zeefuik
16 J. Dilrosun
17 M. Mittelstädt
22 R. Jarstein

Coach: B. Labbadia

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,91
U
3,54
B ✓
2,37
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,73
U2,5
2,12
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Willenborg · 102 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.