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La Liga
Referee: Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea
Betis
T U S T S
1–4
Full-time
Barcelona
U S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Betis Barcelona
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
50%
67%
Points per game
1,7
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,0
2,7
Scored
1,0
1,8
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,0
This season — La Liga · 27/27 matches
Win Ø 56%
41%
70%
Points per game
1,4
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
41%
63%
Both score Ø 50%
41%
59%
Average goals
2,3
3,5
Scored
1,1
2,6
Conceded
1,2
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+1,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

56% Possession 44%
13 Shots 16
3 Shots on target 9
8 Blocked shots 1
5 Goalkeeper saves 2
3 Corners 7
1 Offside 2
10 Free kicks against 11
1 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Betis 8. · Barcelona 1.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 27 19 6 2 +43 63
2 Ath Madrid 28 16 8 4 +20 56
3 Real Madrid 28 17 3 8 +17 54
4 Getafe 28 12 10 6 +12 46
5 Alaves 28 12 8 8 +0 44
6 Sevilla 28 12 7 9 +11 43
7 Valencia 28 8 16 4 +7 40
8 Betis 27 11 6 10 -1 39
9 Ath Bilbao 28 8 13 7 -3 37
10 Sociedad 28 9 9 10 +0 36
11 Eibar 28 8 11 9 -2 35
12 Girona 28 8 10 10 -6 34
13 Espanol 28 9 7 12 -9 34
14 Leganes 28 8 9 11 -7 33
15 Levante 28 8 7 13 -11 31
16 Villarreal 28 6 11 11 -4 29
17 Valladolid 28 7 8 13 -16 29
18 Celta 28 6 7 15 -11 25
19 Vallecano 28 6 5 17 -21 23
20 Huesca 28 5 7 16 -19 22

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Betis Barcelona
Andrés Guardado 🟨
16′
18′
L. Messi 0–1
Half-time 0–2
47′
L. Messi 0–2
L. Suárez
52′
🟨 Clément Lenglet
63′
L. Suárez 0–3
Piqué
64′
🔁 Nélson Semedo
↦ Arthur
67′
🟨 Nélson Semedo
Emerson 🔁
↦ Joaquín
67′
D. Lainez 🔁
↦ G. Lo Celso
68′
Loren Morón 🔁
↦ William Carvalho
75′
1–3 Loren Morón
D. Lainez
82′
85′
L. Messi 1–4
I. Rakitić
88′
🔁 Carles Aleñà
↦ I. Rakitić
90′
🔁 Philippe Coutinho
↦ L. Suárez
Full-time 1–4

Line-ups

Betis

3-1-4-2
13 Pau López G
12 Sidnei D
23 A. Mandi D
5 Bartra D
17 Joaquín M
18 A. Guardado M
6 Canales M
14 William Carvalho M
21 G. Lo Celso M
11 Cristian Tello F
10 Jesé F
Bench (7)
24 Emerson
22 D. Lainez
16 Loren Morón
7 Sergio León
34 W. Kaptoum
1 Joel Robles
4 Z. Feddal

Coach: Quique Setién

Barcelona

4-4-2
1 M. ter Stegen G
3 Piqué D
18 Jordi Alba D
20 Sergi Roberto D
15 C. Lenglet D
4 I. Rakitić M
22 A. Vidal M
5 Sergio Busquets M
8 Arthur M
10 L. Messi F
9 L. Suárez F
Bench (7)
2 Nélson Semedo
21 Carles Aleñà
7 Philippe Coutinho
13 J. Cillessen
23 S. Umtiti
19 K. Boateng
14 Malcom

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Ricardo De Burgos Bengoetxea · 116 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,3 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.