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Serie B

Cosenza

U U U U T

1–2

Full-time

Brescia

U T S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Cosenza Brescia

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

1,3

2,5

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

This season — Serie B · 6/5 matches

Win Ø 10%

20%

Points per game

0,8

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 30%

60%

Both score Ø 45%

50%

40%

Average goals

1,3

2,6

Scored

0,5

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

14 Shots 12

3 Shots on target 4

5 Corners 5

19 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match Cosenza 13. · Brescia 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	7	4	2	1	+6	14
2	Empoli	6	4	1	1	+4	13
3	Chievo	6	4	1	1	+4	13
4	Frosinone	6	4	1	1	+4	13
5	Spal	7	3	3	1	+3	12
6	Cittadella	5	3	1	1	+6	10
7	Venezia	5	3	1	1	+5	10
8	Lecce	6	2	3	1	+1	9
9	Reggina	6	1	4	1	+1	7
10	Pordenone	6	1	4	1	-1	7
11	Monza	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Brescia	5	1	2	2	-1	5
13	Cosenza	6	0	5	1	-2	5
14	Virtus Entella	5	0	4	1	-2	4
15	Reggiana	5	1	1	3	-3	4
16	Ascoli	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Pisa	6	0	4	2	-5	4
18	Vicenza	5	0	3	2	-2	3
19	Cremonese	5	0	3	2	-3	3
20	Pescara	6	0	1	5	-11	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Salernitana	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Venezia	4	3	0	1	+5	9
3	Spal	3	2	1	0	+3	7
4	Empoli	3	2	1	0	+3	7
5	Frosinone	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Cittadella	3	2	0	1	+4	6
7	Chievo	3	2	0	1	+2	6
8	Brescia	3	1	2	0	+3	5
9	Lecce	3	1	2	0	+2	5
10	Reggina	3	1	1	1	+1	4
11	Vicenza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Cosenza	3	0	3	0	+0	3
13	Ascoli	3	1	0	2	-2	3
14	Pordenone	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Pisa	2	0	2	0	+0	2
16	Reggiana	2	0	1	1	-1	1
17	Monza	2	0	1	1	-1	1
18	Virtus Entella	2	0	1	1	-2	1
19	Cremonese	2	0	1	1	-2	1
20	Pescara	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chievo	3	2	1	0	+2	7
2	Frosinone	2	2	0	0	+4	6
3	Empoli	3	2	0	1	+1	6
4	Monza	3	1	2	0	+1	5
5	Spal	4	1	2	1	+0	5
6	Pordenone	4	1	2	1	-1	5
7	Cittadella	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Lecce	3	1	1	1	-1	4
9	Salernitana	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Reggina	3	0	3	0	+0	3
11	Virtus Entella	3	0	3	0	+0	3
12	Reggiana	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Cremonese	3	0	2	1	-1	2
14	Cosenza	3	0	2	1	-2	2
15	Pisa	4	0	2	2	-5	2
16	Venezia	1	0	1	0	+0	1
17	Ascoli	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Vicenza	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Brescia	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Pescara	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.