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Ligue 2

Toulouse

S U S S S

4–5

Full-time

Valenciennes

S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Valenciennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,3

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

1,8

1,7

Scored

1,5

0,5

Conceded

0,3

1,2

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,7

This season — Ligue 2 · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

44%

33%

Points per game

1,7

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 28%

33%

22%

Both score Ø 28%

33%

22%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–2

13 Shots 14

5 Shots on target 6

3 Corners 6

16 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 6. · Valenciennes 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	9	7	1	1	+10	22
2	Troyes	9	5	2	2	+8	17
3	Clermont	10	4	4	2	+6	16
4	Le Havre	10	5	1	4	-1	16
5	Grenoble	8	5	0	3	+5	15
6	Toulouse	9	4	3	2	+4	15
7	Sochaux	9	3	5	1	+2	14
8	Niort	8	4	2	2	+1	14
9	Caen	9	4	2	3	+0	14
10	Auxerre	9	4	1	4	+3	13
11	Dunkerque	9	4	1	4	+0	13
12	Guingamp	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Nancy	8	3	2	3	+1	11
14	Amiens	9	3	2	4	+0	11
15	Valenciennes	9	3	2	4	-1	11
16	Rodez	9	2	3	4	-8	9
17	Chateauroux	9	2	2	5	-2	8
18	Ajaccio	9	2	1	6	-10	7
19	Pau FC	9	1	3	5	-5	6
20	Chambly	9	1	2	6	-12	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Grenoble	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Paris FC	5	4	0	1	+5	12
3	Troyes	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Valenciennes	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Caen	4	3	1	0	+3	10
6	Auxerre	5	3	0	2	+6	9
7	Niort	4	2	2	0	+4	8
8	Toulouse	5	2	2	1	+4	8
9	Nancy	4	2	1	1	+1	7
10	Le Havre	4	2	1	1	+1	7
11	Dunkerque	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Sochaux	4	2	1	1	+0	7
13	Guingamp	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Amiens	5	2	1	2	+0	7
15	Rodez	5	2	1	2	-2	7
16	Clermont	5	1	3	1	+1	6
17	Pau FC	4	1	2	1	+2	5
18	Chateauroux	4	1	1	2	+0	4
19	Ajaccio	5	1	1	3	-5	4
20	Chambly	5	1	0	4	-7	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris FC	4	3	1	0	+5	10
2	Clermont	5	3	1	1	+5	10
3	Le Havre	6	3	0	3	-2	9
4	Troyes	5	2	1	2	+3	7
5	Sochaux	5	1	4	0	+2	7
6	Toulouse	4	2	1	1	+0	7
7	Dunkerque	5	2	0	3	-1	6
8	Niort	4	2	0	2	-3	6
9	Guingamp	5	1	2	2	-1	5
10	Nancy	4	1	1	2	+0	4
11	Amiens	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Chateauroux	5	1	1	3	-2	4
13	Auxerre	4	1	1	2	-3	4
14	Caen	5	1	1	3	-3	4
15	Grenoble	4	1	0	3	-2	3
16	Ajaccio	4	1	0	3	-5	3
17	Chambly	4	0	2	2	-5	2
18	Rodez	4	0	2	2	-6	2
19	Valenciennes	4	0	1	3	-4	1
20	Pau FC	5	0	1	4	-7	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.