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La Liga

Referee: José Munuera

Alaves

T U T U S

1–2

Full-time

Villarreal

U S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,8

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,7

2,2

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 20/20 matches

Win Ø 35%

30%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 58%

40%

75%

Both score Ø 58%

45%

70%

Average goals

2,5

3,1

Scored

1,1

1,7

Conceded

1,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

53% Possession 47%

12 Shots 11

6 Shots on target 6

0 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

7 Corners 4

4 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 14. · Villarreal 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	21	13	4	4	+25	43
2	Real Madrid	20	12	7	1	+25	43
3	Ath Madrid	20	9	8	3	+8	35
4	Sevilla	20	10	5	5	+5	35
5	Valencia	21	9	7	5	+3	34
6	Getafe	20	9	6	5	+9	33
7	Ath Bilbao	21	7	10	4	+7	31
8	Sociedad	20	9	4	7	+5	31
9	Villarreal	20	8	4	8	+6	28
10	Osasuna	21	6	10	5	+3	28
11	Granada	20	8	3	9	-1	27
12	Betis	20	7	6	7	-3	27
13	Levante	21	8	2	11	-6	26
14	Alaves	20	6	5	9	-8	23
15	Valladolid	20	4	10	6	-6	22
16	Eibar	20	6	4	10	-9	22
17	Mallorca	20	5	3	12	-12	18
18	Celta	20	3	7	10	-13	16
19	Espanol	21	3	6	12	-21	15
20	Leganes	20	3	5	12	-17	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	9	1	0	+25	28
2	Real Madrid	10	7	3	0	+15	24
3	Valencia	11	6	5	0	+9	23
4	Ath Bilbao	10	6	3	1	+10	21
5	Ath Madrid	10	6	3	1	+8	21
6	Betis	11	6	2	3	+6	20
7	Granada	10	6	1	3	+6	19
8	Getafe	10	5	3	2	+7	18
9	Osasuna	11	4	5	2	+5	17
10	Levante	10	5	2	3	+4	17
11	Mallorca	11	5	2	4	+3	17
12	Villarreal	10	4	4	2	+7	16
13	Alaves	10	4	4	2	+6	16
14	Sevilla	9	4	3	2	+3	15
15	Eibar	10	5	0	5	-2	15
16	Sociedad	9	4	2	3	+7	14
17	Valladolid	9	2	6	1	+4	12
18	Celta	10	2	4	4	-4	10
19	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-7	10
20	Espanol	11	0	4	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	11	6	2	3	+2	20
2	Real Madrid	10	5	4	1	+10	19
3	Sociedad	11	5	2	4	-2	17
4	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
5	Barcelona	11	4	3	4	+0	15
6	Ath Madrid	10	3	5	2	+0	14
7	Villarreal	10	4	0	6	-1	12
8	Osasuna	10	2	5	3	-2	11
9	Valencia	10	3	2	5	-6	11
10	Espanol	10	3	2	5	-8	11
11	Ath Bilbao	11	1	7	3	-3	10
12	Valladolid	11	2	4	5	-10	10
13	Levante	11	3	0	8	-10	9
14	Granada	10	2	2	6	-7	8
15	Eibar	10	1	4	5	-7	7
16	Betis	9	1	4	4	-9	7
17	Alaves	10	2	1	7	-14	7
18	Celta	10	1	3	6	-9	6
19	Leganes	9	0	4	5	-10	4
20	Mallorca	9	0	1	8	-15	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.