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La Liga
Referee: Santiago Jaime
Villarreal
T T T U S
1–0
Full-time
Getafe
U U S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Getafe
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,8
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
67%
17%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,3
1,7
Scored
0,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,2
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — La Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 41%
35%
47%
Points per game
1,3
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 53%
76%
29%
Both score Ø 59%
71%
47%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,5
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

64% Possession 36%
11 Shots 7
4 Shots on target 0
1 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 3
2 Corners 5
9 Offside 4
8 Free kicks against 18
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Villarreal 13. · Getafe 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 18 12 3 3 +26 39
2 Real Madrid 17 10 6 1 +21 36
3 Sevilla 18 10 4 4 +6 34
4 Getafe 17 8 6 3 +10 30
5 Ath Madrid 17 7 8 2 +8 29
6 Sociedad 17 8 4 5 +8 28
7 Ath Bilbao 17 7 6 4 +7 27
8 Valencia 17 7 6 4 +3 27
9 Granada 18 7 3 8 -1 24
10 Osasuna 17 5 8 4 +2 23
11 Levante 17 7 2 8 -4 23
12 Betis 17 6 5 6 -5 23
13 Villarreal 17 6 4 7 +5 22
14 Valladolid 17 4 7 6 -6 19
15 Alaves 18 5 4 9 -9 19
16 Eibar 18 5 4 9 -10 19
17 Mallorca 18 4 3 11 -14 15
18 Celta 17 3 5 9 -11 14
19 Leganes 17 2 4 11 -16 10
20 Espanol 17 2 4 11 -20 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Villarreal Getafe
Manu Trigueros 🟨
28′
40′
🟨 Jaime Mata
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 M. Olivera
↦ Portillo
46′
🔁 Ángel
↦ Jorge Molina
1–0 Moi Gómez
52′
59′
🟨 Mathias Olivera
61′
🟨 Mathias Olivera
61′
🟥 Mathias Olivera
Santi Cazorla 🔁
↦ Manu Trigueros
68′
76′
🔁 F. Fajr
↦ A. Nyom
K. Toko Ekambi 🔁
↦ S. Chukwueze
80′
Gerard Moreno 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Ángel Rodríguez
Javi Ontiveros 🔁
↦ Gerard Moreno
86′
89′
🟨 Damián Suárez
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Villarreal

4-2-3-1
1 Sergio Asenjo G
2 Mario Gaspar D
3 Raúl Albiol D
4 Pau Torres D
16 Xavier Quintilla D
19 André Zambo Anguissa M
10 Vicente Iborra M
11 Samuel Chukwueze M
14 Manu Trigueros M
23 Moi Gómez M
7 Gerard Moreno F
Bench (7)
13 Andrés Fernández
6 Ramiro Funes Mori
15 Manuel Morlanes
24 Javier Ontiveros
8 Santi Cazorla
9 Carlos Bacca
17 Karl Toko Ekambi

Coach: Javi Calleja

Getafe

4-4-2
13 David Soria G
22 Damián Suárez D
2 Djené D
6 Leandro Cabrera D
12 Allan Nyom D
8 Francisco Portillo M
18 Mauro Arambarri M
20 Nemanja Maksimović M
15 Marc Cucurella M
7 Jaime Mata F
19 Jorge Molina F
Bench (7)
1 Leandro Chichizola
17 Mathias Olivera
16 Xabier Etxeita
3 Vitorino Antunes
21 Fayçal Fajr
24 David Timor
9 Ángel Rodríguez

Coach: José Bordalás

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,22
U
3,18
B
3,53
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,26
U2,5 ✓
1,64
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
26,8 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.