La Liga
Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Villarreal
Getafe
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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Half-time score: 0–0
| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Barcelona
|
18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | +26 | 39 |
| 2 |
Real Madrid
|
17 | 10 | 6 | 1 | +21 | 36 |
| 3 |
Sevilla
|
18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | +6 | 34 |
| 4 |
Getafe
|
17 | 8 | 6 | 3 | +10 | 30 |
| 5 |
Ath Madrid
|
17 | 7 | 8 | 2 | +8 | 29 |
| 6 |
Sociedad
|
17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | +8 | 28 |
| 7 |
Ath Bilbao
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +7 | 27 |
| 8 |
Valencia
|
17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | +3 | 27 |
| 9 |
Granada
|
18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | -1 | 24 |
| 10 |
Osasuna
|
17 | 5 | 8 | 4 | +2 | 23 |
| 11 |
Levante
|
17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | -4 | 23 |
| 12 |
Betis
|
17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | -5 | 23 |
| 13 |
Villarreal
|
17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | +5 | 22 |
| 14 |
Valladolid
|
17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -6 | 19 |
| 15 |
Alaves
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -9 | 19 |
| 16 |
Eibar
|
18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | -10 | 19 |
| 17 |
Mallorca
|
18 | 4 | 3 | 11 | -14 | 15 |
| 18 |
Celta
|
17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | -11 | 14 |
| 19 |
Leganes
|
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -16 | 10 |
| 20 |
Espanol
|
17 | 2 | 4 | 11 | -20 | 10 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
Pau Torres
D
André Zambo Anguissa
M
Samuel Chukwueze
M
Moi Gómez
M
Gerard Moreno
F
Coach: Javi Calleja
David Soria
G
Djené
D
Leandro Cabrera
D
Marc Cucurella
M
Coach: José Bordalás
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Sevilla
Villarreal
Villarreal
Ath Madrid
Valencia
Villarreal
Villarreal
Celta
Mallorca
Villarreal
Santiago Jaime · 54 kamper i vår database
🟥 Red cards: 0,26 per match
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.