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Ligue 1
Referee: E Wattellier
Monaco
S U S U T
1–3
Full-time
Strasbourg
T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Monaco Strasbourg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,3
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
-0,5
This season — Ligue 1 · 20/20 matches
Win Ø 40%
40%
40%
Points per game
1,5
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
75%
40%
Both score Ø 48%
60%
35%
Average goals
3,4
2,4
Scored
1,8
1,2
Conceded
1,7
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

59% Possession 41%
12 Shots 11
3 Shots on target 7
3 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Monaco 10. · Strasbourg 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 20 16 1 3 +36 49
2 Marseille 21 12 6 3 +9 42
3 Rennes 21 11 4 6 +7 37
4 Nantes 20 10 2 8 +1 32
5 Lille 20 9 4 7 +2 31
6 Montpellier 20 8 6 6 +8 30
7 Angers 21 8 6 7 -2 30
8 Lyon 20 8 5 7 +12 29
9 Reims 20 7 8 5 +4 29
10 Monaco 20 8 5 7 +2 29
11 Nice 21 8 5 8 +1 29
12 Strasbourg 20 8 3 9 -2 27
13 Bordeaux 20 7 5 8 +5 26
14 Brest 20 6 7 7 +0 25
15 St Etienne 20 7 4 9 -9 25
16 Dijon 20 5 6 9 -7 21
17 Metz 20 4 8 8 -10 20
18 Amiens 20 4 6 10 -16 18
19 Nimes 20 3 6 11 -18 15
20 Toulouse 20 3 3 14 -23 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Monaco Strasbourg
34′
🔁 J. Bellegarde
↦ L. Koné
40′
L. Ajorque 0–1
L. Zohi
Half-time 0–1
S. Jovetić 🔁
↦ Gil Dias
59′
66′
A. Thomasson 0–2
I. Sissoko
R. Aguilar 🔁
↦ B. Henrichs
67′
Adrien Silva 🔁
↦ Fàbregas
69′
74′
S. Mitrović 0–3
K. Lala
77′
🔁 A. N'Dour
↦ L. Zohi
Stevan Jovetić 🟨
81′
85′
🔁 A. Waris
↦ L. Ajorque
1–3 S. Jovetić
W. Ben Yedder
86′
Full-time 1–3

Line-ups

Monaco

4-2-3-1
40 B. Lecomte G
25 K. Glik D
3 G. Maripán D
39 B. Henrichs D
2 F. Ballo D
4 Fàbregas M
6 T. Bakayoko M
17 A. Golovin M
31 Gil Dias M
9 W. Ben Yedder F
11 Gelson Martins M
Bench (7)
10 S. Jovetić
12 R. Aguilar
8 Adrien Silva
32 B. Badiashile
1 D. Subašić
28 Jorge
26 Boschilia

Coach: Robert Moreno

Strasbourg

4-3-1-2
1 M. Sels G
5 L. Koné D
13 S. Mitrović D
23 L. Carole D
27 K. Lala D
24 A. Djiku M
26 A. Thomasson M
18 I. Sissoko M
22 Y. Fofana M
25 L. Ajorque F
20 L. Zohi F
Bench (7)
17 J. Bellegarde
3 A. N'Dour
8 A. Waris
11 D. Liénard
33 I. Aaneba
30 B. Kamara
10 B. Corgnet

Coach: T. Laurey

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
1,61
U
4,10
B ✓
5,33
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,69
U2,5
2,17
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

E Wattellier · 152 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,0 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
21,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,19 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.