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Bundesliga
Referee: B Steinhaus
Union Berlin
S U T T T
2–0
Full-time
Augsburg
S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Augsburg
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
50%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,7
4,3
Scored
1,0
2,3
Conceded
1,7
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+0,3
This season — Bundesliga · 18/18 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,1
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 61%
50%
72%
Both score Ø 64%
56%
72%
Average goals
2,7
3,7
Scored
1,2
1,7
Conceded
1,5
2,0
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

46% Possession 54%
12 Shots 25
3 Shots on target 7
5 Blocked shots 5
7 Goalkeeper saves 1
4 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
18 Free kicks against 9
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Union Berlin 12. · Augsburg 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 RB Leipzig 18 12 4 2 +30 40
2 Bayern Munich 18 11 3 4 +28 36
3 Dortmund 19 10 6 3 +23 36
4 M'gladbach 18 11 2 5 +13 35
5 Schalke 04 18 9 6 3 +10 33
6 Leverkusen 18 9 4 5 +5 31
7 Freiburg 18 8 5 5 +5 29
8 Hoffenheim 18 8 3 7 -4 27
9 Wolfsburg 18 6 6 6 -2 24
10 Augsburg 18 6 5 7 -5 23
11 Ein Frankfurt 18 6 3 9 -1 21
12 Union Berlin 18 6 2 10 -6 20
13 FC Koln 19 6 2 11 -15 20
14 Hertha 18 5 4 9 -11 19
15 Mainz 18 6 0 12 -15 18
16 Werder Bremen 18 4 5 9 -17 17
17 Fortuna Dusseldorf 18 4 3 11 -19 15
18 Paderborn 18 3 3 12 -19 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Union Berlin Augsburg
45′
🟨 Jeffrey Gouweleeuw
Half-time 1–0
1–0 N. Subotić
47′
2–0 M. Ingvartsen
R. Andrich
61′
Keven Schlotterbeck 🟨
66′
Neven Subotić 🟨
68′
Christian Gentner 🟨
70′
70′
🔁 E. Löwen
↦ R. Khedira
M. Bülter 🔁
↦ A. Ujah
72′
Robert Andrich 🟨
74′
77′
🔁 A. Finnbogason
↦ R. Vargas
F. Kroos 🔁
↦ R. Andrich
79′
J. Ryerson 🔁
↦ M. Ingvartsen
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Union Berlin

3-4-1-2
1 R. Gikiewicz G
3 N. Subotić D
28 C. Trimmel M
25 C. Lenz M
5 M. Friedrich D
31 K. Schlotterbeck D
34 C. Gentner M
30 R. Andrich M
11 A. Ujah F
10 S. Andersson F
32 M. Ingvartsen F
Bench (9)
15 M. Bülter
23 F. Kroos
6 J. Ryerson
19 F. Hübner
9 S. Polter
18 Y. Mallı
29 M. Parensen
27 S. Becker
35 M. Nicolas

Coach: U. Fischer

Augsburg

4-2-3-1
21 T. Koubek G
6 J. Gouweleeuw D
18 T. Jedvaj D
31 P. Max D
19 F. Uduokhai D
10 D. Baier M
28 A. Hahn M
8 R. Khedira M
7 F. Niederlechner F
23 M. Richter M
16 R. Vargas M
Bench (9)
29 E. Löwen
27 A. Finnbogason
2 S. Lichtsteiner
25 C. Gruezo
17 N. Sarenren-Bazee
3 M. Pedersen
1 A. Luthe
14 J. Morávek
5 M. Suchý

Coach: M. Schmidt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,12
U
3,53
B
3,40
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
1,99
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.