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La Liga

Referee: Jose Luis Munuera Montero

Villarreal

T U U S T

1–2

Full-time

Alaves

T T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

1,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

50%

33%

Both score Ø 25%

33%

17%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-1,0

This season — La Liga · 25/25 matches

Win Ø 28%

16%

40%

Points per game

0,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 48%

52%

44%

Both score Ø 48%

52%

44%

Average goals

2,4

2,1

Scored

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,1

Goal diff per game

-0,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

9 Shots 10

2 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

0 Goalkeeper saves 2

8 Corners 2

5 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 18. · Alaves 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	25	17	6	2	+40	57
2	Ath Madrid	25	14	8	3	+19	50
3	Real Madrid	25	15	3	7	+13	48
4	Getafe	25	10	9	6	+10	39
5	Sevilla	25	10	7	8	+8	37
6	Alaves	25	10	7	8	-3	37
7	Betis	25	10	6	9	-1	36
8	Sociedad	25	9	8	8	+5	35
9	Valencia	25	6	15	4	+4	33
10	Ath Bilbao	25	7	12	6	-3	33
11	Espanol	26	9	6	11	-8	33
12	Eibar	25	7	10	8	-2	31
13	Girona	26	7	10	9	-7	31
14	Leganes	25	7	9	9	-5	30
15	Levante	25	8	6	11	-8	30
16	Valladolid	26	6	8	12	-14	26
17	Celta	25	6	7	12	-7	25
18	Villarreal	25	4	11	10	-7	23
19	Vallecano	26	6	5	15	-17	23
20	Huesca	25	4	7	14	-17	19

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	13	10	2	1	+15	32
2	Barcelona	13	9	3	1	+24	30
3	Real Madrid	12	8	1	3	+12	25
4	Espanol	13	8	1	4	+1	25
5	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+10	24
6	Eibar	13	6	5	2	+9	23
7	Alaves	12	6	5	1	+6	23
8	Getafe	12	7	1	4	+10	22
9	Betis	13	6	4	3	+2	22
10	Leganes	12	5	6	1	+6	21
11	Ath Bilbao	13	5	6	2	+1	21
12	Valencia	13	3	9	1	+6	18
13	Sociedad	12	4	4	4	+2	16
14	Celta	13	4	4	5	+1	16
15	Levante	12	4	3	5	-5	15
16	Vallecano	14	3	4	7	-9	13
17	Villarreal	13	2	6	5	-1	12
18	Valladolid	12	3	3	6	-5	12
19	Girona	13	2	6	5	-7	12
20	Huesca	12	2	4	6	-4	10

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	12	8	3	1	+16	27
2	Real Madrid	13	7	2	4	+1	23
3	Sociedad	13	5	4	4	+3	19
4	Girona	13	5	4	4	+0	19
5	Ath Madrid	12	4	6	2	+4	18
6	Getafe	13	3	8	2	+0	17
7	Valencia	12	3	6	3	-2	15
8	Levante	13	4	3	6	-3	15
9	Betis	12	4	2	6	-3	14
10	Alaves	13	4	2	7	-9	14
11	Valladolid	14	3	5	6	-9	14
12	Sevilla	13	3	4	6	-2	13
13	Ath Bilbao	12	2	6	4	-4	12
14	Villarreal	12	2	5	5	-6	11
15	Vallecano	12	3	1	8	-8	10
16	Celta	12	2	3	7	-8	9
17	Leganes	13	2	3	8	-11	9
18	Huesca	13	2	3	8	-13	9
19	Espanol	13	1	5	7	-9	8
20	Eibar	12	1	5	6	-11	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.