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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez

Alaves

S U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Villarreal

U S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

67%

33%

Points per game

2,2

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

1,8

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — La Liga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 39%

56%

22%

Points per game

1,9

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 39%

44%

33%

Both score Ø 39%

44%

33%

Average goals

2,2

1,7

Scored

1,3

0,8

Conceded

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

47% Possession 53%

19 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

8 Corners 4

1 Offside 7

11 Free kicks against 11

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 4. · Villarreal 17. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	10	6	3	1	+16	21
2	Ath Madrid	10	5	4	1	+7	19
3	Espanol	10	5	3	2	+6	18
4	Alaves	9	5	2	2	+4	17
5	Sevilla	9	5	1	3	+8	16
6	Valladolid	10	4	4	2	+2	16
7	Levante	10	5	1	4	+1	16
8	Getafe	10	4	3	3	+2	15
9	Real Madrid	10	4	2	4	+0	14
10	Celta	10	3	4	3	+4	13
11	Girona	10	3	4	3	-2	13
12	Sociedad	10	3	3	4	-1	12
13	Betis	10	3	3	4	-4	12
14	Valencia	10	1	8	1	-1	11
15	Eibar	10	3	2	5	-7	11
16	Ath Bilbao	10	1	7	2	-4	10
17	Villarreal	9	2	3	4	-1	9
18	Leganes	10	2	2	6	-7	8
19	Vallecano	10	1	3	6	-10	6
20	Huesca	9	1	2	6	-13	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	6	4	2	0	+15	14
2	Ath Madrid	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	Espanol	4	4	0	0	+6	12
4	Real Madrid	5	3	1	1	+5	10
5	Celta	6	2	3	1	+5	9
6	Alaves	4	2	2	0	+2	8
7	Sevilla	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Leganes	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Getafe	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Valladolid	5	2	1	2	+0	7
11	Eibar	5	2	1	2	-1	7
12	Levante	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Betis	5	2	1	2	-2	7
14	Girona	6	2	1	3	-3	7
15	Ath Bilbao	6	1	3	2	-4	6
16	Valencia	5	0	5	0	+0	5
17	Sociedad	4	0	2	2	-2	2
18	Villarreal	5	0	2	3	-3	2
19	Vallecano	5	0	2	3	-8	2
20	Huesca	4	0	1	3	-4	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	6	3	1	2	+1	10
2	Sevilla	5	3	0	2	+6	9
3	Levante	5	3	0	2	+3	9
4	Alaves	5	3	0	2	+2	9
5	Valladolid	5	2	3	0	+2	9
6	Getafe	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	Villarreal	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Barcelona	4	2	1	1	+1	7
9	Girona	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Espanol	6	1	3	2	+0	6
11	Ath Madrid	5	1	3	1	+0	6
12	Valencia	5	1	3	1	-1	6
13	Betis	5	1	2	2	-2	5
14	Ath Bilbao	4	0	4	0	+0	4
15	Celta	4	1	1	2	-1	4
16	Vallecano	5	1	1	3	-2	4
17	Real Madrid	5	1	1	3	-5	4
18	Eibar	5	1	1	3	-6	4
19	Huesca	5	1	1	3	-9	4
20	Leganes	6	0	1	5	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.