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La Liga

Referee: Santiago Jaime Latre

Alaves

S U T T T

0–3

Full-time

Villarreal

U S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Alaves Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 33%

33%

Points per game

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

1,8

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,5

This season — La Liga · 3/3 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,0

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

67%

Both score Ø 17%

33%

Average goals

1,3

2,7

Scored

0,0

1,0

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-1,3

-0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

48% Possession 52%

16 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 6

7 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

2 Corners 3

3 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 25

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Alaves 19. · Villarreal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	4	4	0	0	+10	12
2	Sociedad	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Ath Madrid	4	2	2	0	+5	8
4	Sevilla	3	2	1	0	+4	7
5	Ath Bilbao	3	2	1	0	+3	7
6	Levante	4	1	3	0	+1	6
7	Valencia	4	1	3	0	+1	6
8	Leganes	4	2	0	2	+0	6
9	Betis	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Eibar	4	2	0	2	-2	6
11	Real Madrid	3	1	2	0	+3	5
12	Getafe	4	1	1	2	-1	4
13	Girona	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Celta	3	1	0	2	-1	3
15	Villarreal	3	1	0	2	-2	3
16	Las Palmas	3	1	0	2	-3	3
17	La Coruna	4	0	1	3	-6	1
18	Espanol	3	0	1	2	-6	1
19	Alaves	3	0	0	3	-4	0
20	Malaga	4	0	0	4	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+7	6
2	Betis	2	2	0	0	+2	6
3	Levante	3	1	2	0	+1	5
4	Sevilla	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Ath Bilbao	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Girona	2	1	1	0	+1	4
7	Valencia	2	1	1	0	+1	4
8	Sociedad	1	1	0	0	+3	3
9	Villarreal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
10	Ath Madrid	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Celta	2	1	0	1	+0	3
12	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
13	Eibar	2	1	0	1	+0	3
14	Real Madrid	2	0	2	0	+0	2
15	Espanol	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Getafe	2	0	0	2	-2	0
17	Alaves	1	0	0	1	-2	0
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-3	0
19	Las Palmas	1	0	0	1	-4	0
20	La Coruna	2	0	0	2	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sociedad	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Barcelona	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Ath Madrid	3	1	2	0	+4	5
4	Getafe	2	1	1	0	+1	4
5	Real Madrid	1	1	0	0	+3	3
6	Las Palmas	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Ath Bilbao	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Sevilla	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Leganes	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Eibar	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Valencia	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Levante	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	La Coruna	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Espanol	2	0	1	1	-5	1
15	Celta	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Girona	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Alaves	2	0	0	2	-2	0
18	Malaga	2	0	0	2	-2	0
19	Betis	2	0	0	2	-4	0
20	Villarreal	2	0	0	2	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.