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La Liga

Referee: Alejandro Hernández

Villarreal

T U T T T

0–0

Full-time

Ath Madrid

U U S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Villarreal Ath Madrid

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,7

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

1,3

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,5

This season — La Liga · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 37%

33%

40%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

80%

13%

Both score Ø 57%

73%

40%

Average goals

3,5

1,7

Scored

1,9

1,1

Conceded

1,6

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+0,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%

23 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 3

10 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 3

11 Corners 6

0 Offside 3

11 Free kicks against 11

2 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Villarreal 13. · Ath Madrid 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	14	10	1	3	+20	31
2	Real Madrid	14	9	4	1	+19	31
3	Sevilla	15	9	3	3	+5	30
4	Sociedad	15	8	2	5	+8	26
5	Ath Bilbao	15	7	5	3	+8	26
6	Ath Madrid	15	6	7	2	+6	25
7	Getafe	15	6	6	3	+7	24
8	Valencia	15	6	5	4	+1	23
9	Osasuna	15	5	7	3	+4	22
10	Granada	15	6	3	6	+0	21
11	Levante	15	6	2	7	-3	20
12	Betis	15	5	4	6	-6	19
13	Villarreal	15	5	3	7	+4	18
14	Alaves	15	5	3	7	-3	18
15	Valladolid	15	4	6	5	-4	18
16	Eibar	15	4	3	8	-12	15
17	Mallorca	15	4	2	9	-9	14
18	Celta	15	3	4	8	-10	13
19	Espanol	15	2	3	10	-18	9
20	Leganes	15	1	3	11	-17	6

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Bilbao	8	6	1	1	+10	19
2	Barcelona	6	6	0	0	+18	18
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+12	17
4	Valencia	8	4	4	0	+6	16
5	Getafe	8	4	3	1	+8	15
6	Ath Madrid	8	4	3	1	+5	15
7	Alaves	8	4	2	2	+6	14
8	Levante	7	4	2	1	+5	14
9	Sevilla	7	4	2	1	+4	14
10	Betis	8	4	2	2	+3	14
11	Mallorca	9	4	2	3	+2	14
12	Sociedad	7	4	1	2	+8	13
13	Granada	7	4	1	2	+3	13
14	Villarreal	7	3	3	1	+7	12
15	Osasuna	7	3	3	1	+4	12
16	Valladolid	6	2	3	1	+4	9
17	Eibar	7	3	0	4	-6	9
18	Celta	8	2	2	4	-4	8
19	Leganes	8	1	1	6	-7	4
20	Espanol	8	0	1	7	-13	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sevilla	8	5	1	2	+1	16
2	Real Madrid	7	4	2	1	+7	14
3	Barcelona	8	4	1	3	+2	13
4	Sociedad	8	4	1	3	+0	13
5	Ath Madrid	7	2	4	1	+1	10
6	Osasuna	8	2	4	2	+0	10
7	Getafe	7	2	3	2	-1	9
8	Valladolid	9	2	3	4	-8	9
9	Granada	8	2	2	4	-3	8
10	Espanol	7	2	2	3	-5	8
11	Ath Bilbao	7	1	4	2	-2	7
12	Valencia	7	2	1	4	-5	7
13	Villarreal	8	2	0	6	-3	6
14	Eibar	8	1	3	4	-6	6
15	Levante	8	2	0	6	-8	6
16	Celta	7	1	2	4	-6	5
17	Betis	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Alaves	7	1	1	5	-9	4
19	Leganes	7	0	2	5	-10	2
20	Mallorca	6	0	0	6	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.