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Bundesliga
Referee: T Reichel
Werder Bremen
S S T U T
1–0
Full-time
Hertha
U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Werder Bremen Hertha
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,3
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
67%
100%
Average goals
3,2
3,3
Scored
1,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 11/11 matches
Win Ø 27%
36%
18%
Points per game
1,4
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
55%
45%
Both score Ø 69%
64%
73%
Average goals
3,5
2,7
Scored
1,8
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

53% Possession 47%
16 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 1
8 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
4 Corners 5
1 Offside 1
14 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Werder Bremen 11. · Hertha 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Union Berlin 11 7 2 2 +11 23
2 Bayern Munich 11 6 4 1 +24 22
3 Freiburg 11 6 3 2 +3 21
4 Ein Frankfurt 11 6 2 3 +6 20
5 Dortmund 11 6 1 4 +4 19
6 Mainz 11 5 3 3 +3 18
7 Hoffenheim 11 5 2 4 +5 17
8 RB Leipzig 11 4 4 3 +2 16
9 M'gladbach 11 4 4 3 +2 16
10 FC Koln 11 4 4 3 -3 16
11 Werder Bremen 11 4 3 4 +2 15
12 Augsburg 11 4 2 5 -5 14
13 Hertha 11 2 5 4 -2 11
14 Wolfsburg 11 2 5 4 -6 11
15 Leverkusen 11 2 3 6 -7 9
16 Stuttgart 11 1 5 5 -7 8
17 Bochum 11 2 1 8 -17 7
18 Schalke 04 11 1 3 7 -15 6

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Werder Bremen Hertha
17′
🟨 Wilfried Kanga
32′
🔁 J. Boëtius
↦ S. Jovetić
44′
🟨 Dodi Lukebakio
Half-time 0–0
Mitchell Weiser 🟨
55′
58′
🟨 Suat Serdar
Niklas Stark 🟨
60′
C. Groß 🔁
↦ L. Bittencourt
64′
72′
🔁 I. Šunjić
↦ S. Serdar
72′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ W. Kanga
72′
🔁 C. Ejuke
↦ M. Richter
F. Agu 🔁
↦ M. Weiser
83′
J. Stage 🔁
↦ I. Gruev
83′
84′
🔁 D. Scherhant
↦ D. Lukébakio
1–0 N. Füllkrug
A. Jung
85′
O. Burke 🔁
↦ M. Ducksch
92′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Werder Bremen

3-1-4-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
5 A. Pieper D
13 M. Veljković D
4 N. Stark D
20 R. Schmid M
8 M. Weiser M
28 I. Gruev M
10 L. Bittencourt M
3 A. Jung M
11 N. Füllkrug F
7 M. Ducksch F
Bench (9)
36 C. Groß
27 F. Agu
6 J. Stage
9 O. Burke
39 F. Chiarodia
21 E. Dinkçi
22 N. Schmidt
26 L. Buchanan
30 M. Zetterer

Coach: O. Werner

Hertha

4-4-2
1 O. Christensen G
16 J. Kenny D
3 A. Rogel D
20 M. Kempf D
21 M. Plattenhardt D
14 D. Lukébakio M
29 L. Tousart M
8 S. Serdar M
23 M. Richter M
18 W. Kanga F
19 S. Jovetić F
Bench (9)
10 J. Boëtius
34 I. Šunjić
7 D. Selke
40 C. Ejuke
39 D. Scherhant
2 P. Pekarík
17 M. Mittelstädt
12 T. Ernst
5 F. Uremović

Coach: S. Schwarz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,05
U
3,83
B
3,40
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,58
U2,5 ✓
2,40
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Reichel · 78 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,4 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,12 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.