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Bundesliga

Referee: D Aytekin

M'gladbach

T S S U S

1–3

Full-time

FC Koln

T S U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

M'gladbach FC Koln

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

1,8

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

33%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

1,8

1,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,0

This season — Bundesliga · 29/29 matches

Win Ø 36%

34%

38%

Points per game

1,3

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

59%

48%

Both score Ø 66%

66%

Average goals

3,2

2,9

Scored

1,4

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,4

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–3

57% Possession 43%

18 Shots 17

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

5 Corners 5

1 Offside 3

15 Free kicks against 19

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match M'gladbach 11. · FC Koln 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	29	22	3	4	+57	69
2	Dortmund	30	20	3	7	+33	63
3	Leverkusen	29	15	7	7	+26	52
4	RB Leipzig	29	15	6	8	+33	51
5	Freiburg	30	14	9	7	+15	51
6	Hoffenheim	29	13	5	11	+5	44
7	Union Berlin	29	12	8	9	-1	44
8	FC Koln	29	11	10	8	-2	43
9	Mainz	30	11	6	13	+7	39
10	Ein Frankfurt	29	10	9	10	+0	39
11	M'gladbach	29	10	7	12	-11	37
12	Bochum	30	10	6	14	-13	36
13	Wolfsburg	30	10	4	16	-17	34
14	Augsburg	30	8	8	14	-13	32
15	Hertha	30	8	5	17	-34	29
16	Stuttgart	30	6	10	14	-17	28
17	Bielefeld	29	5	11	13	-20	26
18	Greuther Furth	29	3	7	19	-48	16

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	12	1	2	+31	37
2	Dortmund	15	12	0	3	+24	36
3	RB Leipzig	15	10	2	3	+23	32
4	Mainz	15	9	4	2	+20	31
5	Freiburg	15	8	4	3	+10	28
6	FC Koln	15	8	4	3	+5	28
7	Union Berlin	14	8	4	2	+5	28
8	Hoffenheim	14	8	3	3	+13	27
9	Leverkusen	14	8	2	4	+14	26
10	Bochum	15	7	4	4	+5	25
11	M'gladbach	14	6	4	4	+2	22
12	Augsburg	15	6	4	5	+1	22
13	Wolfsburg	15	6	2	7	-1	20
14	Stuttgart	15	5	3	7	-5	18
15	Hertha	15	5	3	7	-10	18
16	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	5	6	-2	17
17	Bielefeld	14	2	8	4	-5	14
18	Greuther Furth	15	3	5	7	-13	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	14	10	2	2	+26	32
2	Dortmund	15	8	3	4	+9	27
3	Leverkusen	15	7	5	3	+12	26
4	Freiburg	15	6	5	4	+5	23
5	Ein Frankfurt	14	6	4	4	+2	22
6	RB Leipzig	14	5	4	5	+10	19
7	Hoffenheim	15	5	2	8	-8	17
8	Union Berlin	15	4	4	7	-6	16
9	FC Koln	14	3	6	5	-7	15
10	M'gladbach	15	4	3	8	-13	15
11	Wolfsburg	15	4	2	9	-16	14
12	Bielefeld	15	3	3	9	-15	12
13	Bochum	15	3	2	10	-18	11
14	Hertha	15	3	2	10	-24	11
15	Stuttgart	15	1	7	7	-12	10
16	Augsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
17	Mainz	15	2	2	11	-13	8
18	Greuther Furth	14	0	2	12	-35	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.