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Bundesliga

Referee: F Zwayer

Dortmund

S S T S S

2–3

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 83%

83%

Points per game

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 75%

83%

67%

Average goals

3,3

4,0

Scored

2,3

3,0

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,3

+2,0

This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches

Win Ø 77%

77%

Points per game

2,3

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 85%

85%

Both score Ø 77%

85%

69%

Average goals

4,0

4,2

Scored

2,5

3,2

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

+1,1

+2,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 16

4 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 2

4 Corners 6

3 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 10

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Dortmund 2. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	13	10	1	2	+29	31
2	Dortmund	13	10	0	3	+14	30
3	Leverkusen	14	8	3	3	+16	27
4	Hoffenheim	14	7	2	5	+8	23
5	Union Berlin	14	6	5	3	+2	23
6	Freiburg	13	6	4	3	+6	22
7	Mainz	14	6	3	5	+6	21
8	Wolfsburg	14	6	2	6	-5	20
9	FC Koln	14	4	7	3	+0	19
10	Bochum	14	6	1	7	-7	19
11	RB Leipzig	14	5	3	6	+7	18
12	M'gladbach	13	5	3	5	+0	18
13	Ein Frankfurt	14	4	6	4	-2	18
14	Hertha	13	4	2	7	-14	14
15	Stuttgart	13	3	4	6	-5	13
16	Augsburg	14	3	4	7	-11	13
17	Bielefeld	14	1	7	6	-10	10
18	Greuther Furth	14	0	1	13	-34	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	7	7	0	0	+12	21
2	Bayern Munich	7	6	0	1	+18	18
3	Union Berlin	8	5	2	1	+4	17
4	Hoffenheim	7	5	1	1	+10	16
5	RB Leipzig	7	5	0	2	+12	15
6	Mainz	8	4	3	1	+9	15
7	FC Koln	7	4	3	0	+8	15
8	M'gladbach	6	4	2	0	+8	14
9	Bochum	6	4	1	1	+5	13
10	Leverkusen	7	4	0	3	+5	12
11	Freiburg	6	3	2	1	+4	11
12	Stuttgart	7	3	1	3	+3	10
13	Augsburg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
14	Wolfsburg	7	3	1	3	-3	10
15	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+0	8
16	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	4	1	+0	7
17	Bielefeld	8	0	5	3	-7	5
18	Greuther Furth	6	0	1	5	-9	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	7	4	3	0	+11	15
2	Bayern Munich	6	4	1	1	+11	13
3	Freiburg	7	3	2	2	+2	11
4	Ein Frankfurt	8	3	2	3	-2	11
5	Wolfsburg	7	3	1	3	-2	10
6	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+2	9
7	Hoffenheim	7	2	1	4	-2	7
8	Union Berlin	6	1	3	2	-2	6
9	Mainz	6	2	0	4	-3	6
10	Bochum	8	2	0	6	-12	6
11	Hertha	7	2	0	5	-14	6
12	Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	-3	5
13	FC Koln	7	0	4	3	-8	4
14	M'gladbach	7	1	1	5	-8	4
15	RB Leipzig	7	0	3	4	-5	3
16	Stuttgart	6	0	3	3	-8	3
17	Augsburg	7	0	3	4	-8	3
18	Greuther Furth	8	0	0	8	-25	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.