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Bundesliga
Referee: F Brych
Bielefeld
T T S U T
1–1
Full-time
FC Koln
U T U U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
17%
17%
Points per game
0,8
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
2,5
3,7
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
1,5
2,2
Goal diff per game
-0,5
-0,7
This season — Bundesliga · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 20%
8%
31%
Points per game
0,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
38%
62%
Both score Ø 70%
54%
85%
Average goals
2,2
3,4
Scored
0,7
1,7
Conceded
1,5
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,8
+0,0
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

42% Possession 58%
18 Shots 10
5 Shots on target 3
5 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 3
7 Corners 1
2 Offside 2
14 Free kicks against 10
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 17. · FC Koln 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 13 10 1 2 +29 31
2 Dortmund 13 10 0 3 +14 30
3 Leverkusen 13 7 3 3 +10 24
4 Union Berlin 14 6 5 3 +2 23
5 Freiburg 13 6 4 3 +6 22
6 Hoffenheim 13 6 2 5 +7 20
7 Wolfsburg 13 6 2 5 -2 20
8 RB Leipzig 14 5 3 6 +7 18
9 Mainz 13 5 3 5 +3 18
10 FC Koln 13 4 6 3 +0 18
11 M'gladbach 13 5 3 5 +0 18
12 Ein Frankfurt 13 4 6 3 -1 18
13 Bochum 13 5 1 7 -8 16
14 Hertha 13 4 2 7 -14 14
15 Stuttgart 13 3 4 6 -5 13
16 Augsburg 13 3 4 6 -10 13
17 Bielefeld 13 1 6 6 -10 9
18 Greuther Furth 13 0 1 12 -28 1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld FC Koln
17′
S. Özcan 0–1
R. Czichos
Fabian Kunze 🟨
20′
31′
🟨 Kingsley Schindler
Half-time 0–1
B. Lasme 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
57′
1–1 B. Lasme
M. Okugawa
59′
65′
🔁 J. Thielmann
↦ O. Duda
65′
🔁 S. Andersson
↦ A. Modeste
70′
🔁 K. Ehizibue
↦ K. Schindler
R. Hack 🔁
↦ P. Wimmer
72′
F. Krüger 🔁
↦ F. Klos
84′
84′
🔁 L. Schaub
↦ F. Kainz
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
8 A. Schöpf M
16 F. Kunze M
11 M. Okugawa M
20 P. Wimmer M
9 F. Klos F
Bench (9)
10 B. Lasme
21 R. Hack
18 F. Krüger
3 Guilherme Ramos
15 N. De Medina
13 S. Kapino
22 E. Fernandes
23 J. Serra
30 A. Andrade

Coach: F. Kramer

FC Koln

4-2-3-1
20 M. Schwäbe G
5 R. Czichos D
2 B. Schmitz D
15 L. Kilian D
11 F. Kainz M
18 O. Duda M
17 K. Schindler D
28 E. Skhiri M
6 S. Özcan M
7 D. Ljubičić M
27 A. Modeste F
Bench (9)
29 J. Thielmann
9 S. Andersson
19 K. Ehizibue
21 L. Schaub
23 J. Horn
22 Jorge Meré
40 J. Urbig
25 T. Lemperle
4 T. Hübers

Coach: S. Baumgart

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,39
U ✓
3,48
B
2,17
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,82
U2,5 ✓
2,02
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

F Brych · 113 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,10 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.