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Serie B

Crotone

T U T T T

1–2

Full-time

Spal

T U T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Crotone Spal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,8

2,7

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,2

-0,3

This season — Serie B · 15/15 matches

Win Ø 17%

27%

Points per game

0,5

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 47%

47%

Both score Ø 57%

53%

60%

Average goals

2,6

Scored

0,9

1,3

Conceded

1,7

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,9

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

20 Shots 13

7 Shots on target 3

4 Corners 4

11 Free kicks against 6

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Crotone 18. · Spal 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	15	9	3	3	+10	30
2	Pisa	15	8	5	2	+10	29
3	Lecce	15	7	7	1	+13	28
4	Benevento	15	7	4	4	+10	25
5	Monza	15	6	7	2	+5	25
6	Ascoli	15	7	4	4	+3	25
7	Perugia	16	6	7	3	+3	25
8	Frosinone	15	5	9	1	+8	24
9	Cremonese	15	6	5	4	+4	23
10	Cittadella	15	6	4	5	+0	22
11	Reggina	15	6	4	5	-2	22
12	Como	15	5	6	4	+3	21
13	Ternana	15	6	3	6	+2	21
14	Parma	15	4	6	5	-2	18
15	Spal	15	4	5	6	+1	17
16	Cosenza	15	4	3	8	-10	15
17	Alessandria	15	4	2	9	-11	14
18	Crotone	15	1	5	9	-13	8
19	Vicenza	16	2	1	13	-16	7
20	Pordenone	15	1	4	10	-18	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Monza	7	6	1	0	+9	19
2	Pisa	8	5	3	0	+7	18
3	Lecce	7	4	3	0	+10	15
4	Benevento	8	4	2	2	+7	14
5	Cittadella	8	4	2	2	+4	14
6	Cremonese	8	3	4	1	+4	13
7	Cosenza	7	4	1	2	+4	13
8	Ternana	8	4	1	3	+3	13
9	Perugia	8	3	3	2	+1	12
10	Brescia	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Como	7	3	2	2	+3	11
12	Frosinone	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Reggina	8	3	2	3	+0	11
14	Alessandria	7	3	1	3	-3	10
15	Spal	8	2	3	3	+2	9
16	Parma	7	2	3	2	+0	9
17	Ascoli	7	2	2	3	-2	8
18	Crotone	8	1	4	3	-5	7
19	Pordenone	8	1	2	5	-8	5
20	Vicenza	7	0	1	6	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Brescia	8	6	1	1	+7	19
2	Ascoli	8	5	2	1	+5	17
3	Frosinone	7	3	4	0	+7	13
4	Lecce	8	3	4	1	+3	13
5	Perugia	8	3	4	1	+2	13
6	Pisa	7	3	2	2	+3	11
7	Benevento	7	3	2	2	+3	11
8	Reggina	7	3	2	2	-2	11
9	Como	8	2	4	2	+0	10
10	Cremonese	7	3	1	3	+0	10
11	Parma	8	2	3	3	-2	9
12	Ternana	7	2	2	3	-1	8
13	Spal	7	2	2	3	-1	8
14	Cittadella	7	2	2	3	-4	8
15	Monza	8	0	6	2	-4	6
16	Vicenza	9	2	0	7	-8	6
17	Alessandria	8	1	1	6	-8	4
18	Pordenone	7	0	2	5	-10	2
19	Cosenza	8	0	2	6	-14	2
20	Crotone	7	0	1	6	-8	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.