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La Liga

Referee: Juan Martínez

Ath Madrid

U S U S S

1–2

Full-time

Mallorca

U U U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Madrid Mallorca

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

2,0

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

83%

50%

Both score Ø 75%

67%

83%

Average goals

3,8

2,7

Scored

2,5

1,2

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

+1,2

-0,3

This season — La Liga · 14/15 matches

Win Ø 39%

57%

20%

Points per game

2,1

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

64%

33%

Both score Ø 55%

57%

53%

Average goals

2,9

2,4

Scored

1,9

0,9

Conceded

1,0

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-0,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%

14 Shots 10

6 Shots on target 3

2 Blocked shots 3

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

8 Corners 5

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Madrid 4. · Mallorca 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	15	11	3	1	+20	36
2	Sevilla	15	9	4	2	+14	31
3	Betis	16	9	3	4	+8	30
4	Ath Madrid	14	8	5	1	+12	29
5	Sociedad	15	8	5	2	+8	29
6	Vallecano	15	7	3	5	+7	24
7	Barcelona	15	6	5	4	+6	23
8	Ath Bilbao	15	4	8	3	+2	20
9	Espanol	15	5	5	5	+1	20
10	Osasuna	15	5	5	5	-4	20
11	Valencia	15	4	7	4	+1	19
12	Villarreal	15	3	7	5	-1	16
13	Celta	15	4	4	7	-3	16
14	Mallorca	15	3	7	5	-8	16
15	Granada	15	3	6	6	-7	15
16	Alaves	15	4	2	9	-9	14
17	Elche	15	2	6	7	-9	12
18	Cadiz	15	2	6	7	-14	12
19	Getafe	15	2	4	9	-9	10
20	Levante	15	0	7	8	-15	7

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Vallecano	7	6	1	0	+13	19
2	Sevilla	7	6	1	0	+12	19
3	Real Madrid	7	5	2	0	+11	17
4	Barcelona	9	5	2	2	+7	17
5	Espanol	8	5	2	1	+6	17
6	Ath Madrid	7	4	3	0	+7	15
7	Sociedad	7	4	3	0	+4	15
8	Betis	8	4	2	2	+5	14
9	Valencia	8	3	4	1	+5	13
10	Villarreal	7	3	2	2	+3	11
11	Ath Bilbao	7	3	2	2	+2	11
12	Mallorca	8	2	5	1	+1	11
13	Alaves	8	3	0	5	-5	9
14	Granada	7	2	2	3	-3	8
15	Getafe	7	2	1	4	-1	7
16	Elche	7	1	4	2	-3	7
17	Osasuna	8	1	4	3	-6	7
18	Celta	8	1	2	5	-5	5
19	Levante	7	0	5	2	-5	5
20	Cadiz	8	0	4	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	8	6	1	1	+9	19
2	Betis	8	5	1	2	+3	16
3	Ath Madrid	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Sociedad	8	4	2	2	+4	14
5	Osasuna	7	4	1	2	+2	13
6	Sevilla	8	3	3	2	+2	12
7	Celta	7	3	2	2	+2	11
8	Ath Bilbao	8	1	6	1	+0	9
9	Cadiz	7	2	2	3	-6	8
10	Granada	8	1	4	3	-4	7
11	Barcelona	6	1	3	2	-1	6
12	Valencia	7	1	3	3	-4	6
13	Alaves	7	1	2	4	-4	5
14	Villarreal	8	0	5	3	-4	5
15	Vallecano	8	1	2	5	-6	5
16	Elche	8	1	2	5	-6	5
17	Mallorca	7	1	2	4	-9	5
18	Espanol	7	0	3	4	-5	3
19	Getafe	8	0	3	5	-8	3
20	Levante	8	0	2	6	-10	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.