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Süper Lig
Referee: F Aydınus
Trabzonspor
S S S S S
2–0
Full-time
Ad. Demirspor
U T S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Trabzonspor Ad. Demirspor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
100%
33%
Points per game
3,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,0
Scored
2,2
1,0
Conceded
0,5
1,0
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Süper Lig · 14/14 matches
Win Ø 58%
79%
36%
Points per game
2,6
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 61%
64%
57%
Average goals
2,9
2,7
Scored
2,1
1,4
Conceded
0,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,1
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
5 Shots 18
3 Shots on target 4
0 Blocked shots 6
5 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 5
2 Offside 3
6 Free kicks against 10
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Trabzonspor 1. · Ad. Demirspor 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Trabzonspor 14 11 3 0 +18 36
2 Konyaspor 14 7 5 2 +10 26
3 Hatayspor 14 8 2 4 +9 26
4 Fenerbahce 14 7 3 4 +3 24
5 Alanyaspor 15 7 3 5 -3 24
6 Buyuksehyr 14 7 1 6 +4 22
7 Karagumruk 14 6 4 4 +3 22
8 Galatasaray 14 6 4 4 +2 22
9 Besiktas 15 6 3 6 +0 21
10 Ad. Demirspor 14 5 5 4 +2 20
11 Sivasspor 15 4 7 4 +6 19
12 Antalyaspor 14 5 3 6 -2 18
13 Gaziantep 14 5 3 6 -4 18
14 Altay 14 5 2 7 -3 17
15 Giresunspor 14 4 4 6 +0 16
16 Kayserispor 14 4 4 6 -4 16
17 Yeni Malatyaspor 14 4 1 9 -11 13
18 Goztep 14 2 5 7 -7 11
19 Kasimpasa 15 2 5 8 -8 11
20 Rizespor 14 3 1 10 -15 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Trabzonspor Ad. Demirspor
F. Koita 🔁
↦ A. Cornelius
13′
1–0 A. Nwakaeme
26′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 M. Hamšík
A. Nwakaeme
54′
61′
🔁 M. Vargas
↦ Birkir Bjarnason
A. Bakasetas 🔁
↦ F. Koita
72′
72′
🔁 B. Assombalonga
↦ D. Akintola
80′
🔁 T. Çamdal
↦ J. Svensson
80′
🔁 M. Mimaroğlu
↦ Y. Akgün
82′
🟨 Mario Balotelli
Bruno Peres 🔁
↦ E. Siopis
85′
Y. Sarı 🔁
↦ A. Ömür
86′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Trabzonspor

4-2-3-1
1 U. Çakır G
13 Vitor Hugo D
24 S. Denswil D
32 Edgar Ié D
17 M. Hamšík M
6 E. Siopis M
8 D. Toköz D
10 A. Ömür M
5 B. Özdemir M
9 A. Nwakaeme M
14 A. Cornelius F
Bench (10)
19 F. Koita
11 A. Bakasetas
33 Bruno Peres
7 Y. Sarı
29 Y. Mallı
99 S. Asan
61 A. Parmak
59 A. Akbulut
4 H. Türkmen
23 İ. Köybaşı

Coach: A. Avcı

Ad. Demirspor

4-2-3-1
49 A. Murić G
22 J. Svensson D
91 S. Deli D
5 S. Akaydin D
95 J. Rassoul D
67 Birkir Bjarnason M
90 B. Stambouli M
8 S. Kurt M
11 D. Akintola M
9 M. Balotelli F
23 Y. Akgün M
Bench (10)
77 M. Vargas
7 B. Assombalonga
20 T. Çamdal
17 M. Mimaroğlu
2 T. Sanuç
88 G. İnler
6 K. Kanak
35 F. Kaplan
4 S. Güler
19 L. Castro

Coach: V. Montella

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,78
U
3,86
B
4,20
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,68
U2,5 ✓
2,16
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

F Aydınus · 36 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
24,8 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,14 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.