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Bundesliga

Referee: H Osmers

Union Berlin

T S S S U

2–5

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 67%

50%

83%

Points per game

1,8

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

33%

100%

Both score Ø 59%

50%

67%

Average goals

2,3

4,8

Scored

1,3

4,0

Conceded

1,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+3,2

This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches

Win Ø 61%

44%

78%

Points per game

1,8

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

44%

89%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

2,6

4,6

Scored

1,4

3,7

Conceded

1,1

0,9

Goal diff per game

+0,3

+2,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–3

39% Possession 61%

9 Shots 14

6 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 1

2 Offside 3

9 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 5. · Bayern Munich 1. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	9	7	1	1	+25	22
2	Dortmund	9	7	0	2	+10	21
3	Freiburg	9	5	4	0	+8	19
4	Leverkusen	9	5	2	2	+9	17
5	Union Berlin	9	4	4	1	+3	16
6	RB Leipzig	9	4	2	3	+11	14
7	Hoffenheim	10	4	2	4	+4	14
8	Mainz	9	4	1	4	+3	13
9	FC Koln	9	3	4	2	-1	13
10	Wolfsburg	9	4	1	4	-3	13
11	Hertha	10	4	0	6	-12	12
12	M'gladbach	9	3	2	4	-2	11
13	Stuttgart	9	2	4	3	-1	10
14	Bochum	9	3	1	5	-9	10
15	Ein Frankfurt	9	1	5	3	-5	8
16	Augsburg	9	1	3	5	-13	6
17	Bielefeld	9	0	5	4	-9	5
18	Greuther Furth	9	0	1	8	-18	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Dortmund	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+16	12
3	RB Leipzig	5	4	0	1	+13	12
4	FC Koln	5	3	2	0	+5	11
5	Union Berlin	5	3	2	0	+4	11
6	Hoffenheim	5	3	1	1	+7	10
7	Mainz	5	3	1	1	+6	10
8	Freiburg	4	2	2	0	+4	8
9	M'gladbach	4	2	2	0	+3	8
10	Stuttgart	5	2	1	2	+3	7
11	Bochum	4	2	1	1	+2	7
12	Wolfsburg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
13	Leverkusen	4	2	0	2	+0	6
14	Hertha	4	2	0	2	+0	6
15	Augsburg	4	1	1	2	-6	4
16	Ein Frankfurt	4	0	3	1	-1	3
17	Bielefeld	5	0	3	2	-6	3
18	Greuther Furth	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Leverkusen	5	3	2	0	+9	11
2	Freiburg	5	3	2	0	+4	11
3	Bayern Munich	4	3	1	0	+9	10
4	Dortmund	4	2	0	2	+1	6
5	Wolfsburg	4	2	0	2	-1	6
6	Hertha	6	2	0	4	-12	6
7	Union Berlin	4	1	2	1	-1	5
8	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	2	2	-4	5
9	Hoffenheim	5	1	1	3	-3	4
10	Mainz	4	1	0	3	-3	3
11	Stuttgart	4	0	3	1	-4	3
12	M'gladbach	5	1	0	4	-5	3
13	Bochum	5	1	0	4	-11	3
14	RB Leipzig	4	0	2	2	-2	2
15	Bielefeld	4	0	2	2	-3	2
16	FC Koln	4	0	2	2	-6	2
17	Augsburg	5	0	2	3	-7	2
18	Greuther Furth	5	0	0	5	-13	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.