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Championship
Referee: G Ward
Blackburn
S U S S S
1–0
Full-time
Preston
S T T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Blackburn Preston
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 50%
33%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,5
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Championship · 21/21 matches
Win Ø 41%
48%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
62%
48%
Both score Ø 60%
62%
57%
Average goals
3,1
2,3
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,3
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

43% Possession 57%
6 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
2 Corners 1
2 Offside 0
10 Free kicks against 9
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Blackburn 4. · Preston 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Fulham 22 14 5 3 +34 47
2 Bournemouth 22 12 8 2 +20 44
3 West Brom 22 11 7 4 +13 40
4 Blackburn 21 10 6 5 +11 36
5 Coventry 22 10 6 6 +6 36
6 QPR 21 10 5 6 +7 35
7 Stoke 21 10 4 7 +5 34
8 Swansea 21 8 6 7 +2 30
9 Middlesbrough 21 8 5 8 +2 29
10 Reading 21 9 2 10 -4 29
11 Sheffield United 20 8 4 8 +3 28
12 Huddersfield 19 8 4 7 +2 28
13 Preston 21 7 7 7 -3 28
14 Luton 20 7 6 7 +4 27
15 Millwall 20 6 9 5 -1 27
16 Blackpool 20 7 6 7 -2 27
17 Birmingham 21 7 5 9 -5 26
18 Bristol City 21 7 5 9 -8 26
19 Nott'm Forest 19 6 6 7 +1 24
20 Derby 21 4 10 7 -4 22
21 Cardiff 21 6 4 11 -13 22
22 Hull 21 6 3 12 -8 21
23 Peterborough 20 4 4 12 -21 16
24 Peterboro 21 4 4 13 -23 16
25 Barnsley 21 2 7 12 -18 13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Blackburn Preston
Darragh Lenihan 🟨
15′
Half-time 1–0
1–0 B. Brereton
R. Khadra
53′
Jan Paul van Hecke 🟨
65′
65′
🟨 Emil Riis
B. Johnson 🔁
↦ J. Buckley
66′
Lewis Travis 🟨
69′
T. Dolan 🔁
↦ R. Khadra
76′
78′
🔁 D. Johnson
↦ A. McCann
78′
🔁 S. Sinclair
↦ G. Cunningham
82′
🔁 R. Ledson
↦ M. Olosunde
83′
🟨 Ched Evans
A. Edun 🔁
↦ J. Rothwell
85′
Full-time 1–0

Line-ups

Blackburn

3-4-1-2
13 A. Pears G
26 D. Lenihan D
16 S. Wharton D
27 L. Travis M
2 R. Nyambe M
3 H. Pickering M
25 J. van Hecke D
8 J. Rothwell M
21 J. Buckley F
7 R. Khadra F
22 B. Brereton F
Bench (7)
4 B. Johnson
10 T. Dolan
20 A. Edun
6 J. Davenport
45 J. Eastham
14 D. Butterworth
19 L. Clarkson

Coach: T. Mowbray

Preston

3-4-1-2
12 D. Iversen G
3 G. Cunningham D
6 L. Lindsay D
22 M. Olosunde M
14 J. Storey D
32 J. Earl M
8 A. Browne F
4 B. Whiteman M
13 A. McCann M
9 C. Evans F
19 E. Riis F
Bench (7)
11 D. Johnson
31 S. Sinclair
18 R. Ledson
5 P. Bauer
28 M. Hudson
15 J. Rafferty
24 S. Maguire

Coach: F. McAvoy

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,24
U
3,37
B
3,25
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,99
U2,5 ✓
1,82
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

G Ward · 178 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
22,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,11 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.