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Super League
Referee: L Fähndrich
Zurich
U U S S S
4–0
Full-time
Luzern
S U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zurich Luzern
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
50%
33%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,0
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,5
This season — Super League · 15/15 matches
Win Ø 34%
60%
7%
Points per game
2,1
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 60%
73%
47%
Both score Ø 77%
67%
87%
Average goals
3,8
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,3
Conceded
1,6
1,9
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 3–0

52% Possession 48%
24 Shots 15
7 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 5
5 Goalkeeper saves 3
5 Corners 9
1 Offside 1
15 Free kicks against 13
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Zurich 1. · Luzern 10. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Zurich 15 9 4 2 +9 31
2 Basel 14 8 5 1 +19 29
3 Lugano 15 8 2 5 +4 26
4 Young Boys 14 7 4 3 +16 25
5 Grasshoppers 15 4 6 5 +2 18
6 Servette 15 5 3 7 -4 18
7 Sion 15 5 3 7 -10 18
8 St. Gallen 15 4 3 8 -11 15
9 Lausanne 15 2 5 8 -15 11
10 Luzern 15 1 7 7 -10 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

8. Aug -21 Luzern – Zurich 1–3 25. Apr -21 Luzern – Zurich 3–1 4. Mar -21 Zurich – Luzern 1–2 16. Dec -20 Luzern – Zurich 0–0 7. Nov -20 Zurich – Luzern 2–0

Match report

Zurich Luzern
1–0 A. Tosin ⚽
2′
2–0 A. Marchesano ⚽
A. Tosin
12′
3–0 M. Kryeziu ⚽
Adrià Guerrero
20′
Antonio Marchesano 🟨
24′
Half-time 3–0
46′
🔁 T. Ndenge
↦ D. Sorgić
46′
🔁 S. Grether
↦ D. Domgjoni
Nikola Boranijašević 🟨
47′
4–0 A. Tosin ⚽
A. Ceesay
57′
W. Gnonto 🔁
↦ A. Ceesay
59′
B. Kramer 🔁
↦ A. Tosin
59′
62′
🔁 V. Tasar
↦ L. Emini
68′
🔁 N. Čumić
↦ I. Ndiaye
S. Seiler 🔁
↦ O. Doumbia
78′
F. Rohner 🔁
↦ N. Boranijašević
79′
79′
🔁 N. Rupp
↦ C. Gentner
L. Kamberi 🔁
↦ B. Džemaili
88′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Zurich

3-5-2
25 Y. Brecher G
19 N. Boranijašević M
6 F. Aliti D
31 M. Kryeziu D
3 Adrià Guerrero M
4 B. Omeragić D
21 B. Džemaili M
10 A. Marchesano M
20 O. Doumbia M
9 A. Ceesay F
15 A. Tosin F
Bench (9)
22 W. Gnonto
18 B. Kramer
33 S. Seiler
23 F. Rohner
2 L. Kamberi
16 M. Hornschuh
1 Ž. Kostadinović
7 B. Krasniqi
39 A. Gogia

Coach: A. Breitenreiter

Luzern

3-5-2
32 M. Müller G
28 H. Badstuber D
13 M. Frýdek M
66 D. Domgjoni D
46 M. Burch D
4 C. Gentner M
15 M. Schulz M
19 F. Ugrinic M
7 I. Ndiaye F
31 L. Emini M
9 D. Sorgić F
Bench (9)
8 T. Ndenge
17 S. Grether
16 V. Tasar
20 N. Čumić
41 N. Rupp
90 V. Vasić
29 P. Farkas
34 S. Sidler
6 J. Wehrmann

Coach: S. Chieffo

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
–
🔒
U
–
🔒
B
–
🔒
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

L Fähndrich · 124 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
25,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,22 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.