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Bundesliga
Referee: M Schmidt
Bielefeld
T U T T U
0–2
Full-time
Werder Bremen
U U T S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Bielefeld Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,3
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
83%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
50%
67%
Average goals
3,7
2,7
Scored
0,8
1,3
Conceded
2,8
1,3
Goal diff per game
-2,0
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 24%
22%
26%
Points per game
0,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
52%
35%
Both score Ø 52%
39%
65%
Average goals
2,6
2,6
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
-1,0
-0,3
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

59% Possession 41%
26 Shots 5
8 Shots on target 2
9 Blocked shots 0
0 Goalkeeper saves 8
9 Corners 0
1 Offside 1
12 Free kicks against 9
1 Yellow cards 2
1 Red cards 0
The table before the match Bielefeld 16. · Werder Bremen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 17 4 3 +37 55
2 RB Leipzig 24 16 5 3 +26 53
3 Wolfsburg 24 12 9 3 +17 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 24 11 10 3 +14 43
5 Leverkusen 24 11 7 6 +16 40
6 Dortmund 24 12 3 9 +15 39
7 Union Berlin 24 8 11 5 +10 35
8 Freiburg 24 9 7 8 -1 34
9 Stuttgart 24 8 9 7 +8 33
10 M'gladbach 24 8 9 7 +3 33
11 Hoffenheim 24 8 6 10 -2 30
12 Werder Bremen 23 6 9 8 -6 27
13 Augsburg 24 7 5 12 -13 26
14 FC Koln 24 5 7 12 -20 22
15 Hertha 24 5 6 13 -15 21
16 Bielefeld 23 5 4 14 -23 19
17 Mainz 24 4 6 14 -21 18
18 Schalke 04 24 1 7 16 -45 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Bielefeld Werder Bremen
35′
🟨 Marco Friedl
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 L. Augustinsson
↦ F. Agu
47′
J. Sargent 0–1
N. De Medina 🔁
↦ J. Laursen
52′
M. Vlap 🔁
↦ M. Hartel
62′
F. Klos 🔁
↦ A. Voglsammer
62′
64′
🔁 K. Möhwald
↦ L. Bittencourt
64′
🔁 N. Füllkrug
↦ J. Sargent
Nathan De Medina 🟥
71′
75′
K. Möhwald 0–2
M. Eggestein
S. Schipplock 🔁
↦ F. Kunze
76′
C. Gebauer 🔁
↦ A. Maier
76′
83′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ M. Rashica
85′
🔁 C. Groß
↦ R. Schmid
86′
🟨 Maximilian Eggestein
Amos Pieper 🟨
90′
Full-time 0–2

Line-ups

Bielefeld

4-2-3-1
1 S. Ortega Moreno G
5 J. Laursen D
4 J. Nilsson D
27 C. Brunner D
2 A. Pieper D
19 M. Prietl M
30 M. Hartel M
16 F. Kunze M
8 R. Doan M
31 A. Maier M
21 A. Voglsammer F
Bench (9)
15 N. De Medina
28 M. Vlap
9 F. Klos
36 S. Schipplock
7 C. Gebauer
11 M. Okugawa
6 M. van der Hoorn
20 N. Seufert
34 O. Linnér

Coach: F. Kramer

Werder Bremen

3-4-2-1
1 J. Pavlenka G
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
17 F. Agu M
10 L. Bittencourt M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
20 R. Schmid F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
5 L. Augustinsson
6 K. Möhwald
11 N. Füllkrug
9 D. Selke
36 C. Groß
34 J. Mbom
18 N. Moisander
8 Y. Ōsako
38 E. Santos

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,31
U
3,19
B ✓
2,30
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

M Schmidt · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
22,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.