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Bundesliga
Referee: M Jöllenbeck
FC Koln
S S T T T
1–1
Full-time
Werder Bremen
S U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

FC Koln Werder Bremen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,0
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,2
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,2
Conceded
2,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
This season — Bundesliga · 23/22 matches
Win Ø 25%
22%
27%
Points per game
0,9
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
57%
36%
Both score Ø 61%
57%
64%
Average goals
2,7
2,6
Scored
0,9
1,2
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,9
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

68% Possession 32%
16 Shots 11
4 Shots on target 5
6 Blocked shots 1
4 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
4 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 10
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match FC Koln 15. · Werder Bremen 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 24 17 4 3 +37 55
2 RB Leipzig 24 16 5 3 +26 53
3 Wolfsburg 24 12 9 3 +17 45
4 Ein Frankfurt 24 11 10 3 +14 43
5 Leverkusen 24 11 7 6 +16 40
6 Dortmund 24 12 3 9 +15 39
7 Union Berlin 23 8 10 5 +10 34
8 Freiburg 24 9 7 8 -1 34
9 Stuttgart 24 8 9 7 +8 33
10 M'gladbach 24 8 9 7 +3 33
11 Hoffenheim 24 8 6 10 -2 30
12 Werder Bremen 22 6 8 8 -6 26
13 Augsburg 24 7 5 12 -13 26
14 Hertha 24 5 6 13 -15 21
15 FC Koln 23 5 6 12 -20 21
16 Mainz 24 4 6 14 -21 18
17 Bielefeld 22 5 3 14 -23 18
18 Schalke 04 24 1 7 16 -45 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

FC Koln Werder Bremen
Ismail Jakobs 🟨
21′
Half-time 0–0
57′
🔁 L. Bittencourt
↦ N. Füllkrug
58′
🔁 R. Schmid
↦ K. Möhwald
D. Drexler 🔁
↦ J. Thielmann
66′
66′
J. Sargent 0–1
R. Schmid
J. Hector 🔁
↦ E. Rexhbecaj
71′
E. Dennis 🔁
↦ O. Duda
71′
D. Limnios 🔁
↦ I. Jakobs
71′
Dominick Drexler 🟨
80′
1–1 J. Hector
83′
86′
🔁 D. Selke
↦ J. Sargent
91′
🔁 F. Agu
↦ L. Augustinsson
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

FC Koln

4-4-1-1
1 T. Horn G
22 Jorge Meré D
23 J. Horn D
8 I. Jakobs M
3 N. Katterbach D
13 M. Meyer M
18 O. Duda F
31 M. Wolf D
28 E. Skhiri M
20 E. Rexhbecaj F
29 J. Thielmann M
Bench (9)
24 D. Drexler
14 J. Hector
43 E. Dennis
15 D. Limnios
26 S. Cestic
19 K. Ehizibue
21 S. Özcan
16 R. Zieler
2 B. Schmitz

Coach: M. Gisdol

Werder Bremen

3-4-1-2
1 J. Pavlenka G
21 Ö. Toprak D
23 T. Gebre Selassie M
5 L. Augustinsson M
13 M. Veljkovic D
32 M. Friedl D
6 K. Möhwald M
7 M. Rashica F
35 M. Eggestein M
11 N. Füllkrug F
19 J. Sargent F
Bench (9)
10 L. Bittencourt
20 R. Schmid
9 D. Selke
17 F. Agu
18 N. Moisander
8 Y. Ōsako
36 C. Groß
34 J. Mbom
38 E. Santos

Coach: F. Kohfeldt

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
2,91
U ✓
3,10
B
2,62
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,30
U2,5 ✓
1,62
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

M Jöllenbeck · 86 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
23,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,18 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.