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Bundesliga

Referee: B Dankert

Union Berlin

S S S U T

1–1

Full-time

Bayern Munich

S S U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Union Berlin Bayern Munich

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

50%

67%

Points per game

1,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 83%

83%

Both score Ø 83%

83%

Average goals

4,0

4,2

Scored

2,5

2,8

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+1,5

This season — Bundesliga · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 55%

40%

70%

Points per game

1,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 80%

70%

90%

Both score Ø 80%

80%

Average goals

3,6

5,0

Scored

2,2

3,4

Conceded

1,4

1,6

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+1,8

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

32% Possession 68%

13 Shots 15

6 Shots on target 5

2 Blocked shots 4

4 Goalkeeper saves 4

4 Corners 7

2 Offside 0

17 Free kicks against 8

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Union Berlin 8. · Bayern Munich 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	11	7	3	1	+14	24
2	Bayern Munich	10	7	2	1	+18	23
3	Leverkusen	10	6	4	0	+10	22
4	Wolfsburg	11	5	6	0	+7	21
5	Dortmund	11	6	1	4	+8	19
6	Stuttgart	11	4	5	2	+7	17
7	M'gladbach	11	4	5	2	+3	17
8	Union Berlin	10	4	4	2	+8	16
9	Ein Frankfurt	11	2	7	2	-3	13
10	Hoffenheim	10	3	3	4	+1	12
11	Hertha	11	3	3	5	-1	12
12	Augsburg	10	3	3	4	-3	12
13	Werder Bremen	11	2	5	4	-5	11
14	Freiburg	11	2	5	4	-8	11
15	FC Koln	11	2	4	5	-4	10
16	Bielefeld	11	2	1	8	-14	7
17	Mainz	11	1	2	8	-13	5
18	Schalke 04	10	0	3	7	-25	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	RB Leipzig	6	6	0	0	+13	18
2	Wolfsburg	6	4	2	0	+5	14
3	Bayern Munich	5	3	2	0	+14	11
4	M'gladbach	6	2	4	0	+4	10
5	Dortmund	6	3	0	3	+4	9
6	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+7	8
7	Leverkusen	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Hoffenheim	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Ein Frankfurt	5	1	4	0	+1	7
10	Augsburg	5	2	1	2	-1	7
11	Freiburg	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Bielefeld	5	2	0	3	-4	6
13	Werder Bremen	5	1	2	2	-3	5
14	Hertha	5	1	1	3	-5	4
15	Stuttgart	5	0	3	2	-3	3
16	FC Koln	6	0	2	4	-5	2
17	Mainz	6	0	2	4	-6	2
18	Schalke 04	5	0	2	3	-7	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Stuttgart	6	4	2	0	+10	14
2	Leverkusen	6	4	2	0	+7	14
3	Bayern Munich	5	4	0	1	+4	12
4	Dortmund	5	3	1	1	+4	10
5	Hertha	6	2	2	2	+4	8
6	Union Berlin	5	2	2	1	+1	8
7	FC Koln	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Wolfsburg	5	1	4	0	+2	7
9	M'gladbach	5	2	1	2	-1	7
10	RB Leipzig	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Werder Bremen	6	1	3	2	-2	6
12	Ein Frankfurt	6	1	3	2	-4	6
13	Hoffenheim	5	1	2	2	-1	5
14	Augsburg	5	1	2	2	-2	5
15	Freiburg	5	1	2	2	-6	5
16	Mainz	5	1	0	4	-7	3
17	Bielefeld	6	0	1	5	-10	1
18	Schalke 04	5	0	1	4	-18	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.