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Bundesliga

Referee: Daniel Siebert

Stuttgart

U T U T T

0–3

Full-time

Dortmund

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Stuttgart Dortmund

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

17%

67%

Points per game

0,8

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,8

3,0

Scored

1,8

2,2

Conceded

2,0

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+1,3

This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches

Win Ø 52%

30%

73%

Points per game

1,1

2,4

Over 2.5 Ø 70%

70%

Both score Ø 64%

67%

60%

Average goals

3,5

3,4

Scored

1,5

2,4

Conceded

2,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+1,4

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

45% Possession 55%

8 Shots 15

1 Shots on target 9

4 Blocked shots 4

6 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 4

0 Offside 8

0 Free kicks against 0

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Stuttgart 15. · Dortmund 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	30	25	3	2	+58	78
2	Dortmund	30	22	5	3	+42	71
3	Leverkusen	30	15	6	9	+14	51
4	Hertha	30	14	7	9	+4	49
5	M'gladbach	30	14	3	13	+12	45
6	Mainz	30	13	6	11	+3	45
7	Schalke 04	30	13	6	11	-2	45
8	Wolfsburg	30	10	9	11	+1	39
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	30	10	9	11	-6	39
10	Hamburg	31	10	7	14	-7	37
11	FC Koln	30	9	10	11	-7	37
12	Darmstadt	30	8	11	11	-10	35
13	Hoffenheim	30	8	10	12	-10	34
14	Augsburg	30	8	9	13	-10	33
15	Stuttgart	30	9	6	15	-14	33
16	Werder Bremen	31	8	7	16	-20	31
17	Ein Frankfurt	30	6	9	15	-20	27
18	Hannover	30	6	3	21	-28	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	14	0	1	+41	42
2	Dortmund	15	13	2	0	+31	41
3	M'gladbach	15	11	1	3	+21	34
4	Hertha	15	9	5	1	+12	32
5	Wolfsburg	15	8	5	2	+15	29
6	Schalke 04	15	8	4	3	+5	28
7	Leverkusen	15	8	3	4	+12	27
8	Mainz	15	8	2	5	+5	26
9	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	7	4	4	+5	25
10	Hoffenheim	15	5	6	4	-1	21
11	Hamburg	16	5	4	7	-2	19
12	Stuttgart	15	6	1	8	-5	19
13	Ein Frankfurt	15	4	6	5	-4	18
14	FC Koln	15	4	4	7	-5	16
15	Augsburg	15	3	5	7	-7	14
16	Werder Bremen	15	3	5	7	-8	14
17	Darmstadt	15	2	6	7	-11	12
18	Hannover	15	3	0	12	-14	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bayern Munich	15	11	3	1	+17	36
2	Dortmund	15	9	3	3	+11	30
3	Leverkusen	15	7	3	5	+2	24
4	Darmstadt	15	6	5	4	+1	23
5	FC Koln	15	5	6	4	-2	21
6	Mainz	15	5	4	6	-2	19
7	Augsburg	15	5	4	6	-3	19
8	Hamburg	15	5	3	7	-5	18
9	Schalke 04	15	5	2	8	-7	17
10	Hertha	15	5	2	8	-8	17
11	Werder Bremen	16	5	2	9	-12	17
12	Stuttgart	15	3	5	7	-9	14
13	FC Ingolstadt 04	15	3	5	7	-11	14
14	Hoffenheim	15	3	4	8	-9	13
15	Hannover	15	3	3	9	-14	12
16	M'gladbach	15	3	2	10	-9	11
17	Wolfsburg	15	2	4	9	-14	10
18	Ein Frankfurt	15	2	3	10	-16	9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.